Points
49Points expected by the market
58.18Gap
−9.18Yield
−17.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.81 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 31 | −7.44 | −12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −0.93 | −26.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.81 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 16 | −7.57 | −39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | +0.12 | +26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | −0.87 | −19.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Norwich · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.87 |
| M2 | Reading · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.62 |
| M3 | Birmingham · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.03 |
| M4 | West Bromwich Albion · Away17 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +2.30 |
| M5 | Bristol City · Away21 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.12 |
| M6 | Preston · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.83 |
| M7 | Luton · Home30 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.60 |
| M8 | Millwall · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.70 |
| M9 | Middlesbrough · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.17 | +0.47 |
| M10 | Huddersfield · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.94 |
| M11 | Burnley · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.15 |
| M12 | Blackburn · Home4 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.36 |
| M13 | Wigan · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.07 |
| M14 | Coventry · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.55 |
| M15 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.66 |
| M16 | Swansea · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.76 |
| M17 | Rotherham · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.53 |
| M18 | Watford · Home2 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.81 |
| M19 | Sunderland · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.06 |
| M20 | Hull · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.62 |
| M21 | Sheffield United · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.91 |
| M22 | Stoke · Away10 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −2.97 |
| M23 | Blackpool · Home17 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −3.88 |
| M24 | Queens Park Rangers · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.36 |
| M25 | Coventry · Away29 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.35 |
| M26 | Blackburn · Away1 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.51 |
| M27 | Wigan · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −6.18 |
| M28 | Millwall · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −7.47 |
| M29 | Luton · Away31 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −8.53 |
| M30 | Hull · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.55 |
| M31 | Middlesbrough · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −10.74 |
| M32 | Birmingham · Away14 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −8.86 |
| M33 | Reading · Home17 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −7.63 |
| M34 | Norwich · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −8.54 |
| M35 | Bristol City · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −7.09 |
| M36 | Preston · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.38 |
| M37 | West Bromwich Albion · Home15 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −8.45 |
| M38 | Swansea · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −9.88 |
| M39 | Blackpool · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −8.22 |
| M40 | Sunderland · Home10 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −9.71 |
| M41 | Sheffield United · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −10.40 |
| M42 | Watford · Away19 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −8.45 |
| M43 | Stoke · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −8.89 |
| M44 | Rotherham · Away27 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −7.28 |
| M45 | Huddersfield · Home30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −8.75 |
| M46 | Burnley · Away8 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −9.18 |
| Total | 49 | −9.18 | |||