Points
70Points expected by the market
65.37Gap
+4.63Yield
−1.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −1.50 | −34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 43 | +4.81 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.58 | +33.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.29 | −43.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +4.77 | +43.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.79 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.04 | −31.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +0.58 | +33.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sunderland · Away31 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.31 |
| M2 | Millwall · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.56 |
| M3 | Hull · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.05 |
| M4 | Preston · Home31 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.58 |
| M5 | Norwich · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −5.41 |
| M6 | Luton · Away14 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −5.55 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −6.02 |
| M8 | Middlesbrough · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −4.26 |
| M9 | Bristol City · Away4 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.40 |
| M10 | Burnley · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.61 |
| M11 | Cardiff · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.80 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Home19 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.10 |
| M13 | Stoke · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.18 |
| M14 | Rotherham · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | −1.15 |
| M15 | Blackpool · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.85 |
| M16 | Blackburn · Home1 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.35 |
| M17 | Watford · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.75 |
| M18 | Wigan · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.01 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.49 |
| M20 | Reading · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +2.15 |
| M21 | Swansea · Home17 Dec 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.73 |
| M22 | West Bromwich Albion · Home21 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.54 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.60 |
| M24 | Cardiff · Home29 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +1.87 |
| M25 | Bristol City · Home1 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.19 |
| M26 | Burnley · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.44 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.94 |
| M28 | Huddersfield · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.11 |
| M29 | West Bromwich Albion · Away3 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.82 |
| M30 | Luton · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.36 |
| M31 | Millwall · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.24 |
| M32 | Rotherham · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.63 |
| M33 | Sunderland · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.13 |
| M34 | Preston · Away28 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +2.72 |
| M35 | Huddersfield · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.21 |
| M36 | Hull · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +3.49 |
| M37 | Wigan · Away14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +2.90 |
| M38 | Blackpool · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.35 |
| M39 | Stoke · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.85 |
| M40 | Swansea · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +2.67 |
| M41 | Watford · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +2.01 |
| M42 | Queens Park Rangers · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.53 |
| M43 | Blackburn · Away19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +3.21 |
| M44 | Reading · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.96 |
| M45 | Birmingham · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +4.83 |
| M46 | Middlesbrough · Away8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +4.63 |
| Total | 70 | +4.63 | |||