Points
53Points expected by the market
49.17Gap
+3.83Yield
+11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.52 | +95.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 23 | −6.06 | −24.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 24 | +7.38 | +43.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.52 | +95.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −2.86 | −15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 8 | +4.39 | +115.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.20 | −47.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +2.99 | +26.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Burnley · Home29 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.26 |
| M2 | Birmingham · Away5 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.49 |
| M3 | Stoke · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.73 |
| M4 | Norwich · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.53 |
| M5 | West Bromwich Albion · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.34 |
| M6 | Bristol City · Away31 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.24 |
| M7 | Blackpool · Home4 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.71 |
| M8 | Wigan · Home13 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.12 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −3.41 |
| M10 | Reading · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.61 |
| M11 | Luton · Away4 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.23 | −4.38 |
| M12 | Hull · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.92 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.14 |
| M14 | Preston · Home18 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −5.49 |
| M15 | Middlesbrough · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −5.31 |
| M16 | Millwall · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −3.52 |
| M17 | Sunderland · Home2 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.82 |
| M18 | Blackburn · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.69 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −3.46 |
| M20 | Swansea · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.65 |
| M21 | Sheffield United · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.30 |
| M22 | Watford · Home17 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.41 |
| M23 | Preston · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | −3.36 |
| M24 | Rotherham · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.06 |
| M25 | Luton · Home1 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.32 |
| M26 | Hull · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −3.19 |
| M27 | Coventry · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.98 |
| M28 | Queens Park Rangers · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −4.21 |
| M29 | Blackpool · Away7 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −4.38 |
| M30 | Wigan · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.56 |
| M31 | Stoke · Away15 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −6.44 |
| M32 | Birmingham · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −4.71 |
| M33 | Burnley · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −5.15 |
| M34 | Coventry · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.34 |
| M35 | Bristol City · Home7 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −6.63 |
| M36 | West Bromwich Albion · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −7.17 |
| M37 | Norwich · Home15 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −7.05 |
| M38 | Millwall · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −4.74 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.17 | −2.58 |
| M40 | Watford · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | −0.42 |
| M41 | Blackburn · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.66 |
| M42 | Swansea · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −1.38 |
| M43 | Sunderland · Away18 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.09 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Away30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.70 |
| M45 | Sheffield United · Home4 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.62 |
| M46 | Reading · Home8 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.83 |
| Total | 53 | +3.83 | |||