Points
58Points expected by the market
53.71Gap
+4.29Yield
−7.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.69 | −58.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 30 | +3.79 | +28.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 21 | +2.18 | −28.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.69 | −58.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.51 | +27.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.16 | +44.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.29 | +29.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 14 | +0.03 | −51.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol City · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.54 |
| M2 | Preston · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Norwich · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.49 |
| M4 | Burnley · Away16 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +3.87 |
| M5 | West Bromwich Albion · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.21 |
| M6 | Coventry · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.99 |
| M7 | Queens Park Rangers · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.09 |
| M8 | Sheffield United · Home4 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.12 |
| M9 | Stoke · Home13 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.82 |
| M10 | Swansea · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.82 |
| M11 | Luton · Home30 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.42 |
| M12 | Wigan · Home5 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.15 |
| M13 | Huddersfield · Away9 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.02 |
| M14 | Birmingham · Home16 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.40 |
| M15 | Blackpool · Away19 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.48 |
| M16 | Rotherham · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.24 |
| M17 | Blackburn · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.79 |
| M18 | Middlesbrough · Home1 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.44 |
| M19 | Millwall · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.40 |
| M20 | Cardiff · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.57 |
| M21 | Reading · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.05 |
| M22 | Watford · Away11 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.22 |
| M23 | Sunderland · Home17 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.14 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.87 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Away30 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.11 |
| M26 | Wigan · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.73 |
| M27 | Huddersfield · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +1.88 |
| M28 | Sheffield United · Away20 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.09 |
| M29 | Queens Park Rangers · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.65 |
| M30 | Cardiff · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.97 |
| M31 | Stoke · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +3.81 |
| M32 | Norwich · Away14 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +2.90 |
| M33 | Preston · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +2.21 |
| M34 | Bristol City · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.97 |
| M35 | West Bromwich Albion · Home3 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +2.89 |
| M36 | Coventry · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +2.90 |
| M37 | Burnley · Home15 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.18 |
| M38 | Reading · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.80 |
| M39 | Rotherham · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +1.04 |
| M40 | Sunderland · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.06 |
| M41 | Millwall · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.89 |
| M42 | Blackburn · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | +3.10 |
| M43 | Middlesbrough · Away19 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +2.52 |
| M44 | Watford · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.22 |
| M45 | Swansea · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +4.22 |
| M46 | Luton · Away8 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +4.29 |
| Total | 58 | +4.29 | |||