Points
80Points expected by the market
67.25Gap
+12.75Yield
+13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +1.53 | −6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 41 | +8.31 | +20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.11 | +33.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 24 | +1.12 | −7.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.75 | −19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.41 | +1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 29 | +9.06 | +44.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.11 | +33.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Burnley · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.64 |
| M3 | Preston · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.19 |
| M4 | Bristol City · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.59 |
| M5 | Swansea · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −1.79 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Home26 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.96 |
| M7 | Cardiff · Away30 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.22 |
| M8 | Wigan · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.87 |
| M9 | Coventry · Home14 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −2.44 |
| M10 | Blackburn · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.96 |
| M11 | Hull · Away30 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.57 |
| M12 | Huddersfield · Home4 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.96 | −0.40 |
| M13 | West Bromwich Albion · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.46 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.82 |
| M15 | Norwich · Away18 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.83 |
| M16 | Watford · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.72 |
| M17 | Sunderland · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +0.99 |
| M18 | Reading · Home1 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.30 |
| M19 | Blackpool · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.94 |
| M20 | Stoke · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.93 |
| M21 | Rotherham · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.07 |
| M22 | Middlesbrough · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.05 |
| M23 | Norwich · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.57 |
| M24 | Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.40 |
| M25 | Huddersfield · Away1 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.97 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.73 |
| M27 | Wigan · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.22 |
| M28 | Cardiff · Home31 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.58 |
| M29 | Stoke · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.03 |
| M30 | Coventry · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +6.86 |
| M31 | Preston · Away15 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +6.43 |
| M32 | Burnley · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +5.24 |
| M33 | Birmingham · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.69 |
| M34 | Millwall · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +6.11 |
| M35 | Swansea · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +7.32 |
| M36 | Sheffield United · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +9.34 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home15 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +10.50 |
| M38 | Sunderland · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +10.08 |
| M39 | Watford · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +11.43 |
| M40 | Millwall · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +11.10 |
| M41 | Blackpool · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +11.89 |
| M42 | Rotherham · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +13.19 |
| M43 | Reading · Away19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +12.30 |
| M44 | Middlesbrough · Home24 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +13.70 |
| M45 | Blackburn · Away1 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +13.56 |
| M46 | Hull · Home8 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +12.75 |
| Total | 80 | +12.75 | |||