Points
75Points expected by the market
75.28Gap
−0.28Yield
−1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.51 | +39.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 41 | +0.28 | −1.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 25 | −3.00 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.92 | +83.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.51 | +39.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 37 | +4.87 | +14.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.98 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.59 | −56.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 22 | −0.02 | +7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.92 | +83.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.53 |
| M2 | Queens Park Rangers · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.97 |
| M3 | Sheffield United · Home14 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.53 |
| M4 | Stoke · Away17 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.89 |
| M5 | Reading · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −4.57 |
| M6 | Swansea · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −3.49 |
| M7 | Watford · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.71 |
| M8 | Sunderland · Home5 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.47 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Home13 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.91 | −5.38 |
| M10 | Rotherham · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | −6.37 |
| M11 | Coventry · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −7.86 |
| M12 | Birmingham · Home5 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −6.78 |
| M13 | Millwall · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.99 |
| M14 | Blackburn · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −9.74 |
| M15 | Wigan · Away19 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −8.12 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | −9.05 |
| M17 | Preston · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −10.42 |
| M18 | Hull · Away1 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −8.89 |
| M19 | Bristol City · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −9.75 |
| M20 | Blackpool · Away8 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −8.31 |
| M21 | Norwich · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −6.50 |
| M22 | Luton · Home10 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −5.23 |
| M23 | Burnley · Away17 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.26 |
| M24 | Wigan · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −5.29 |
| M25 | Blackburn · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.81 |
| M26 | Birmingham · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −2.42 |
| M27 | Millwall · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.05 |
| M28 | Sunderland · Away22 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.51 |
| M29 | Watford · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −1.27 |
| M30 | Blackpool · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.39 |
| M31 | Cardiff · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.09 |
| M32 | Sheffield United · Away15 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.04 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +4.01 |
| M34 | West Bromwich Albion · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.83 |
| M35 | Reading · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.57 |
| M36 | Swansea · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.01 |
| M37 | Stoke · Home14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +4.07 |
| M38 | Preston · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +4.98 |
| M39 | Huddersfield · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.91 | +3.07 |
| M40 | Burnley · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.71 |
| M41 | Bristol City · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.01 |
| M42 | Norwich · Home14 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.27 |
| M43 | Hull · Home19 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.05 |
| M44 | Luton · Away24 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.94 |
| M45 | Rotherham · Away1 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | +0.25 |
| M46 | Coventry · Home8 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.28 |
| Total | 75 | −0.28 | |||