Points
68Points expected by the market
66.82Gap
+1.18Yield
+1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 19 | −6.54 | −34.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 47 | +11.65 | +44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 16 | −6.17 | −39.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 23 | +7.45 | +58.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.37 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.19 | +34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.93 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stoke · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Sheffield United · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.61 |
| M3 | Coventry · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.16 |
| M4 | Swansea · Away16 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.87 |
| M5 | Norwich · Away19 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.94 |
| M6 | Reading · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −0.93 |
| M7 | Burnley · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.82 |
| M8 | Cardiff · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.41 |
| M9 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.94 |
| M10 | Blackpool · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.71 |
| M11 | Blackburn · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.87 |
| M12 | Rotherham · Away5 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.17 |
| M13 | Middlesbrough · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.67 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.04 |
| M15 | Watford · Home19 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.59 |
| M16 | West Bromwich Albion · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.24 |
| M17 | Huddersfield · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.75 |
| M18 | Birmingham · Away2 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +2.54 |
| M19 | Hull · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.77 |
| M20 | Preston · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.48 |
| M21 | Sunderland · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.15 |
| M22 | Wigan · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +1.41 |
| M23 | Watford · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.27 |
| M24 | Bristol City · Home29 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +2.38 |
| M25 | Rotherham · Home1 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +3.25 |
| M26 | Middlesbrough · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.18 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.77 |
| M28 | Sunderland · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +3.16 |
| M29 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.80 |
| M30 | Coventry · Away14 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.50 |
| M31 | Sheffield United · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.19 |
| M32 | Burnley · Home21 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +4.98 |
| M33 | Stoke · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +6.84 |
| M34 | Luton · Away28 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +6.72 |
| M35 | Norwich · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +5.40 |
| M36 | Reading · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +6.66 |
| M37 | Swansea · Home14 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +7.85 |
| M38 | Huddersfield · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | +5.80 |
| M39 | West Bromwich Albion · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +5.78 |
| M40 | Luton · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +5.43 |
| M41 | Hull · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.90 |
| M42 | Preston · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.13 |
| M43 | Birmingham · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | +3.16 |
| M44 | Wigan · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.52 |
| M45 | Blackpool · Away28 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.95 |
| M46 | Blackburn · Home8 May 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.77 | +1.18 |
| Total | 68 | +1.18 | |||