Points
62Points expected by the market
74.82Gap
−12.82Yield
−22.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 38 | −9.84 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | −0.01 | +6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 25 | −8.94 | −32.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.51 | −55.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.90 | −31.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.50 | +32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.97 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cardiff · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.58 |
| M2 | Wigan · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.51 |
| M3 | Hull · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.16 |
| M4 | Huddersfield · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −3.11 |
| M5 | Millwall · Home19 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −1.90 |
| M6 | Sunderland · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.36 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Away30 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.79 |
| M8 | Coventry · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.86 |
| M9 | Bristol City · Home14 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.89 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.35 |
| M11 | Blackpool · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.58 |
| M12 | Reading · Away4 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +2.90 |
| M13 | Preston · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +0.99 |
| M14 | Watford · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.39 |
| M15 | Luton · Home18 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −2.13 |
| M16 | Sheffield United · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −2.31 |
| M17 | Burnley · Away25 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.31 |
| M18 | Stoke · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.87 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Home2 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −2.55 |
| M20 | Rotherham · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.38 |
| M21 | Middlesbrough · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.91 |
| M22 | Swansea · Away10 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.17 |
| M23 | Blackburn · Home17 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.07 |
| M24 | Luton · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.40 |
| M25 | Reading · Home30 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −5.37 |
| M26 | Watford · Home2 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −7.14 |
| M27 | Preston · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −5.64 |
| M28 | Coventry · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.66 | −3.98 |
| M29 | Burnley · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −5.44 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.98 |
| M31 | Hull · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −5.80 |
| M32 | Wigan · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −6.49 |
| M33 | Birmingham · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.48 |
| M34 | Cardiff · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.31 |
| M35 | Millwall · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.68 |
| M36 | Sunderland · Home12 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −4.55 |
| M37 | Huddersfield · Away15 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −5.40 |
| M38 | Stoke · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.66 |
| M39 | Sheffield United · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.08 |
| M40 | Blackburn · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −5.37 |
| M41 | Rotherham · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.05 | −6.42 |
| M42 | Middlesbrough · Away14 Apr 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.43 |
| M43 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −8.03 |
| M44 | Swansea · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −9.77 |
| M45 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −10.73 |
| M46 | Blackpool · Home8 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | −12.82 |
| Total | 62 | −12.82 | |||