Points
63Points expected by the market
58.66Gap
+4.34Yield
+13.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.69 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 44 | +7.01 | +27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.03 | +2.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.69 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −1.97 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 24 | +8.97 | +85.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.07 | +11.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wigan · Away30 Jul 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.36 |
| M2 | Hull · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.11 |
| M3 | Luton · Away13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.73 |
| M4 | Rotherham · Home16 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.06 |
| M5 | Watford · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.67 |
| M6 | Cardiff · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.06 |
| M7 | Coventry · Away31 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.76 |
| M8 | Birmingham · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.12 |
| M9 | Burnley · Home13 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.35 |
| M10 | Sheffield United · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.60 |
| M11 | Sunderland · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −2.74 |
| M12 | West Bromwich Albion · Home5 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.96 |
| M13 | Norwich · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | +1.20 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Away12 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.03 |
| M15 | Stoke · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.55 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Away18 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.12 |
| M17 | Blackpool · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.31 |
| M18 | Middlesbrough · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.36 |
| M19 | Swansea · Home1 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.89 |
| M20 | Reading · Away4 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.72 |
| M21 | Millwall · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.39 | +2.33 |
| M22 | Blackburn · Away10 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +4.23 |
| M23 | Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +2.72 |
| M24 | Huddersfield · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +0.95 |
| M25 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.05 |
| M26 | Stoke · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.99 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.78 |
| M28 | Birmingham · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.63 |
| M29 | Bristol City · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.18 |
| M30 | Burnley · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.53 |
| M31 | Luton · Home15 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.27 |
| M32 | Hull · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.25 |
| M33 | Wigan · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.83 |
| M34 | Coventry · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.54 |
| M35 | Watford · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.69 |
| M36 | Cardiff · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.30 |
| M37 | Rotherham · Away14 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.93 |
| M38 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | +4.25 |
| M39 | Blackpool · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.63 |
| M40 | Queens Park Rangers · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +7.50 |
| M41 | Reading · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +8.62 |
| M42 | Millwall · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +7.69 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away19 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.06 | +6.64 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +6.24 |
| M45 | Sheffield United · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.85 | +5.39 |
| M46 | Sunderland · Home8 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.34 |
| Total | 63 | +4.34 | |||