Points
50Points expected by the market
59.09Gap
−9.09Yield
+1.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.34 | −18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 29 | 23 | −14.82 | −48.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 17 | +8.08 | +163.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.34 | −18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 10 | −10.39 | −64.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.02 | +310.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −4.43 | −31.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +6.05 | +146.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackburn · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.00 |
| M2 | Middlesbrough · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.73 |
| M3 | Sunderland · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.63 |
| M4 | Blackpool · Home16 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.13 |
| M5 | Rotherham · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.76 |
| M6 | Watford · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.21 |
| M7 | Hull · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.37 |
| M8 | Swansea · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.13 |
| M9 | Millwall · Away14 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.95 |
| M10 | Stoke · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.42 |
| M11 | Bristol City · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.24 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Away4 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +5.42 |
| M13 | Reading · Home7 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +6.68 |
| M14 | Luton · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +5.69 |
| M15 | Cardiff · Home19 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.19 |
| M16 | Wigan · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +8.45 |
| M17 | Birmingham · Away28 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +7.21 |
| M18 | Norwich · Away2 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +7.16 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +5.80 |
| M20 | Huddersfield · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.99 | +3.82 |
| M21 | Coventry · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.62 |
| M22 | Burnley · Home11 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.50 |
| M23 | Preston · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.32 |
| M24 | Cardiff · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.09 |
| M25 | Luton · Home29 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +1.54 |
| M26 | Sheffield United · Home2 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.38 |
| M27 | Reading · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.00 |
| M28 | Swansea · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.59 |
| M29 | Hull · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.67 |
| M30 | Huddersfield · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.14 |
| M31 | Millwall · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.47 |
| M32 | Sunderland · Home14 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.96 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.70 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −6.35 |
| M35 | Rotherham · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.61 |
| M36 | Watford · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −5.59 |
| M37 | Blackpool · Away14 Mar 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.84 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −8.21 |
| M39 | Wigan · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −9.47 |
| M40 | Preston · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −11.03 |
| M41 | West Bromwich Albion · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −10.85 |
| M42 | Coventry · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −12.08 |
| M43 | Norwich · Home19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −12.19 |
| M44 | Burnley · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.52 | −9.68 |
| M45 | Stoke · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −7.69 |
| M46 | Bristol City · Home8 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −9.09 |
| Total | 50 | −9.09 | |||