Points
50Points expected by the market
49.22Gap
+0.78Yield
−16.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.64 | +105.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 29 | +8.75 | +47.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 29 | 15 | −10.61 | −57.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.64 | +105.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +6.92 | +34.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.40 | −46.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.83 | +228.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 9 | −10.21 | −60.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Blackpool · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Cardiff · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.51 |
| M3 | Rotherham · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.54 |
| M4 | Blackburn · Home17 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.21 |
| M5 | Middlesbrough · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +3.17 |
| M6 | Millwall · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +5.32 |
| M7 | Sheffield United · Away30 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +4.65 |
| M8 | Stoke · Home4 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +6.37 |
| M9 | Sunderland · Home14 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.92 |
| M10 | Wigan · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +6.86 |
| M11 | Huddersfield · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +8.35 |
| M12 | Norwich · Home4 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +8.31 |
| M13 | Queens Park Rangers · Away7 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +7.33 |
| M14 | West Bromwich Albion · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +6.23 |
| M15 | Swansea · Away18 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +5.16 |
| M16 | Bristol City · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.76 |
| M17 | Burnley · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +5.99 |
| M18 | Luton · Away1 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +5.97 |
| M19 | Preston · Home4 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +4.44 |
| M20 | Watford · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.51 |
| M21 | Hull · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +5.33 |
| M22 | Coventry · Home10 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +6.97 |
| M23 | Birmingham · Away16 Dec 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +5.99 |
| M24 | Swansea · Home27 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +7.72 |
| M25 | Norwich · Away30 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +7.95 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Away2 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | +7.27 |
| M27 | Queens Park Rangers · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +6.95 |
| M28 | Stoke · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | +5.98 |
| M29 | Watford · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +5.73 |
| M30 | Sunderland · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +4.85 |
| M31 | Rotherham · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.08 |
| M32 | Cardiff · Away17 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +5.14 |
| M33 | Blackpool · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.55 |
| M34 | Middlesbrough · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.54 | +6.01 |
| M35 | Sheffield United · Home7 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +5.24 |
| M36 | Millwall · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.26 |
| M37 | Blackburn · Away15 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.47 |
| M38 | Hull · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +3.15 |
| M39 | Bristol City · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.29 |
| M40 | Birmingham · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.97 |
| M41 | Preston · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.12 |
| M42 | Burnley · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | +2.49 |
| M43 | Luton · Home19 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | +2.65 |
| M44 | Coventry · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +2.11 |
| M45 | Wigan · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.73 |
| M46 | Huddersfield · Away8 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.78 |
| Total | 50 | +0.78 | |||