Points
91Points expected by the market
79.35Gap
+11.65Yield
+18.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.76 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 60 | +11.31 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 25 | +1.09 | +5.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.76 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 41 | +6.80 | +25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.96 | +17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.51 | +40.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +0.13 | +3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Watford · Away1 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Millwall · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.01 |
| M3 | Middlesbrough · Away14 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.14 |
| M4 | Sunderland · Home17 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.98 |
| M5 | Blackburn · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.21 |
| M6 | Luton · Away26 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.67 |
| M7 | Reading · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.58 |
| M8 | Hull · Away4 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.82 |
| M9 | Swansea · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.25 |
| M10 | Preston · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.80 |
| M11 | Birmingham · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +5.68 |
| M12 | Queens Park Rangers · Home4 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | +3.76 |
| M13 | Stoke · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +2.30 |
| M14 | Blackpool · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.99 | +1.31 |
| M15 | Coventry · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.10 |
| M16 | Norwich · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.64 |
| M17 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.14 |
| M18 | Bristol City · Away1 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.54 |
| M19 | Burnley · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.05 |
| M20 | Rotherham · Home8 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.32 | +1.73 |
| M21 | Cardiff · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.31 |
| M22 | Huddersfield · Home10 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +4.19 |
| M23 | Wigan · Away19 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +5.37 |
| M24 | Coventry · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.57 |
| M25 | Blackpool · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +7.65 |
| M26 | Queens Park Rangers · Away2 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +7.10 |
| M27 | Stoke · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.28 |
| M28 | Hull · Home20 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +9.32 |
| M29 | Rotherham · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +8.30 |
| M30 | Swansea · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +9.41 |
| M31 | Middlesbrough · Home15 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +7.72 |
| M32 | Millwall · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +6.33 |
| M33 | Watford · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +7.50 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +5.83 |
| M35 | Reading · Away7 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +6.85 |
| M36 | Luton · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | +5.11 |
| M37 | Sunderland · Away15 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +6.61 |
| M38 | Norwich · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +8.32 |
| M39 | Wigan · Home7 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +9.07 |
| M40 | Burnley · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +7.92 |
| M41 | Cardiff · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +8.84 |
| M42 | Bristol City · Home18 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +9.65 |
| M43 | West Bromwich Albion · Home26 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +10.88 |
| M44 | Preston · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +11.98 |
| M45 | Huddersfield · Away4 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +10.38 |
| M46 | Birmingham · Away8 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +11.65 |
| Total | 91 | +11.65 | |||