Points
53Points expected by the market
65.72Gap
−12.72Yield
−20.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 18 | −11.40 | −41.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 33 | +1.21 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.52 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 17 | −10.73 | −37.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.51 | −51.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 27 | +3.71 | +32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.43 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Millwall · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Blackpool · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.13 |
| M3 | Huddersfield · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.32 |
| M4 | Middlesbrough · Home17 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.66 |
| M5 | Sunderland · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.34 |
| M6 | Blackburn · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.59 |
| M7 | Swansea · Home31 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −2.21 |
| M8 | Reading · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.62 |
| M9 | Hull · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −2.03 |
| M10 | Queens Park Rangers · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.23 |
| M11 | Watford · Home2 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.60 |
| M12 | Burnley · Away5 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −3.33 |
| M13 | Sheffield United · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.59 |
| M14 | Preston · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.24 |
| M15 | Rotherham · Home18 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −1.67 |
| M16 | Coventry · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −3.31 |
| M17 | Norwich · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.47 |
| M18 | Wigan · Away2 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −2.87 |
| M19 | Birmingham · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −4.58 |
| M20 | Luton · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −3.29 |
| M21 | West Bromwich Albion · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.26 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −4.91 |
| M23 | Bristol City · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.18 |
| M24 | Rotherham · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.73 |
| M25 | Burnley · Home30 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.83 |
| M26 | Preston · Home2 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −6.49 |
| M27 | Sheffield United · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −7.39 |
| M28 | Reading · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −6.14 |
| M29 | Luton · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −7.30 |
| M30 | Hull · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −7.84 |
| M31 | Huddersfield · Home15 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −6.67 |
| M32 | Blackpool · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −8.23 |
| M33 | Swansea · Away21 Feb 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.36 |
| M34 | Millwall · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −7.91 |
| M35 | Sunderland · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −6.11 |
| M36 | Blackburn · Home10 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.76 |
| M37 | Middlesbrough · Away14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −4.57 |
| M38 | Norwich · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −5.02 |
| M39 | Coventry · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −3.22 |
| M40 | Bristol City · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −5.27 |
| M41 | Birmingham · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −5.94 |
| M42 | West Bromwich Albion · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −7.54 |
| M43 | Wigan · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | −9.46 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −9.72 |
| M45 | Queens Park Rangers · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −11.43 |
| M46 | Watford · Away8 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −12.72 |
| Total | 53 | −12.72 | |||