Points
69Points expected by the market
62.17Gap
+6.83Yield
+12.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.10 | −18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 32 | +0.40 | +6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +6.53 | +60.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.25 | −21.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −5.69 | −39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.35 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 20 | +6.09 | +61.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +6.53 | +60.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coventry · Home31 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.39 |
| M2 | Bristol City · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.38 |
| M3 | Queens Park Rangers · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +0.76 |
| M4 | Sheffield United · Away17 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.11 |
| M5 | Stoke · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.84 |
| M6 | Norwich · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Rotherham · Home31 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.97 |
| M8 | Middlesbrough · Away5 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.01 |
| M9 | Reading · Away14 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Watford · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.74 |
| M11 | Preston · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.17 |
| M12 | Blackpool · Home4 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.39 |
| M13 | Swansea · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.27 |
| M14 | Wigan · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.73 |
| M15 | Blackburn · Away18 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.52 |
| M16 | Burnley · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.65 |
| M17 | Luton · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.64 |
| M18 | Huddersfield · Away2 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.96 |
| M19 | Cardiff · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −0.61 |
| M20 | Birmingham · Away11 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.29 |
| M21 | Millwall · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.93 |
| M22 | West Bromwich Albion · Home12 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.73 |
| M23 | Hull · Away17 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.39 |
| M24 | Blackburn · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.79 |
| M25 | Wigan · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.51 |
| M26 | Blackpool · Away1 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +4.06 |
| M27 | Swansea · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.68 |
| M28 | Middlesbrough · Home22 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.42 |
| M29 | Millwall · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +4.33 |
| M30 | Reading · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.47 |
| M31 | Queens Park Rangers · Away14 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +7.25 |
| M32 | Bristol City · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +6.51 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Away21 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +4.86 |
| M34 | Coventry · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.65 |
| M35 | Stoke · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.14 |
| M36 | Norwich · Away12 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +4.27 |
| M37 | Sheffield United · Home15 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +3.07 |
| M38 | Luton · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +2.80 |
| M39 | Burnley · Away31 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.41 | +3.21 |
| M40 | Hull · Home7 Apr 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.47 |
| M41 | Cardiff · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.26 |
| M42 | Birmingham · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +5.40 |
| M43 | Huddersfield · Home18 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +4.35 |
| M44 | West Bromwich Albion · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +6.40 |
| M45 | Watford · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +5.53 |
| M46 | Preston · Away8 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.83 |
| Total | 69 | +6.83 | |||