Points
63Points expected by the market
68.09Gap
−5.09Yield
−15.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 23 | −10.77 | −48.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 33 | +7.33 | +39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.65 | −55.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 21 | −7.80 | −38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 18 | +7.84 | +115.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.98 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.51 | −9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.65 | −55.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield United · Home1 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | West Bromwich Albion · Away8 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.23 |
| M3 | Burnley · Home12 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.75 |
| M4 | Birmingham · Away16 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.11 |
| M5 | Preston · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +2.03 |
| M6 | Queens Park Rangers · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.33 |
| M7 | Middlesbrough · Home30 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.85 |
| M8 | Rotherham · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +1.25 |
| M9 | Blackburn · Away13 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.08 |
| M10 | Sunderland · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.80 |
| M11 | Stoke · Away2 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.87 |
| M12 | Swansea · Home5 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.94 |
| M13 | Blackpool · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.48 |
| M14 | Norwich · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.81 |
| M15 | Millwall · Away19 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.06 |
| M16 | Luton · Home23 Oct 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.65 |
| M17 | Wigan · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.88 |
| M18 | Cardiff · Away2 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.46 |
| M19 | Coventry · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +0.62 |
| M20 | Reading · Home8 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.83 |
| M21 | Bristol City · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.36 |
| M22 | Hull · Home11 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | +0.45 |
| M23 | Huddersfield · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.86 |
| M24 | Millwall · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.30 |
| M25 | Swansea · Away30 Dec 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.68 |
| M26 | Norwich · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.36 |
| M27 | Blackpool · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.54 |
| M28 | Rotherham · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +1.56 |
| M29 | Middlesbrough · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.60 |
| M30 | Reading · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.15 |
| M31 | Blackburn · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.68 |
| M32 | Burnley · Away14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.46 |
| M33 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Feb 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.20 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.29 |
| M35 | Preston · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.60 |
| M36 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −2.33 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Home14 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.08 |
| M38 | Wigan · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −2.03 |
| M39 | Luton · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.07 |
| M40 | Huddersfield · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −4.96 |
| M41 | Coventry · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −5.02 |
| M42 | Bristol City · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −3.72 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Home19 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −5.37 |
| M44 | Hull · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.78 |
| M45 | Sunderland · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −6.65 |
| M46 | Stoke · Home8 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −5.09 |
| Total | 63 | −5.09 | |||