Points
66Points expected by the market
76.78Gap
−10.78Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.73 | −7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 38 | −5.98 | −25.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 22 | −3.12 | −12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.73 | −7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 29 | −1.32 | −13.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.04 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −4.66 | −48.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −2.08 | −3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Middlesbrough · Away30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.18 |
| M2 | Watford · Home8 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.64 |
| M3 | Blackburn · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.14 |
| M4 | Cardiff · Home17 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.03 | −3.17 |
| M5 | Hull · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.88 | −2.28 |
| M6 | Huddersfield · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −3.22 |
| M7 | Wigan · Away30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −3.92 |
| M8 | Burnley · Home2 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −4.47 |
| M9 | Birmingham · Home14 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.20 | −6.67 |
| M10 | Norwich · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.86 |
| M11 | Swansea · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.92 | −8.78 |
| M12 | Preston · Away5 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −10.26 |
| M13 | Luton · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −10.93 |
| M14 | Reading · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −9.55 |
| M15 | Bristol City · Home18 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −11.45 |
| M16 | Millwall · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −12.80 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −14.30 |
| M18 | Blackpool · Home1 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −13.26 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −11.61 |
| M20 | Stoke · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −10.36 |
| M21 | Sunderland · Away12 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −8.86 |
| M22 | Rotherham · Home17 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −8.13 |
| M23 | Coventry · Away21 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −9.65 |
| M24 | Bristol City · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −8.09 |
| M25 | Preston · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −6.92 |
| M26 | Reading · Home2 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −6.00 |
| M27 | Luton · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | −4.46 |
| M28 | Burnley · Away20 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.59 |
| M29 | Coventry · Home3 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −4.39 |
| M30 | Birmingham · Away10 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −6.05 |
| M31 | Blackburn · Home15 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −7.08 |
| M32 | Watford · Away20 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −8.44 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −6.98 |
| M34 | Hull · Away3 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −8.61 |
| M35 | Wigan · Home7 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −7.68 |
| M36 | Huddersfield · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −6.93 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Away15 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.57 |
| M38 | Millwall · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −8.26 |
| M39 | Rotherham · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −10.03 |
| M40 | Queens Park Rangers · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −10.96 |
| M41 | Stoke · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −9.07 |
| M42 | Blackpool · Away18 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −7.76 |
| M43 | Sunderland · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −9.55 |
| M44 | Sheffield United · Away26 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −10.51 |
| M45 | Norwich · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −9.28 |
| M46 | Swansea · Away8 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −10.78 |
| Total | 66 | −10.78 | |||