Points
45Points expected by the market
52.79Gap
−7.79Yield
−32.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 27 | −6.10 | −25.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 18 | −0.04 | −37.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 17 | −7.14 | −44.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +0.95 | −8.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.03 | +21.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 13 | −0.99 | −44.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.34 |
| M2 | Norwich · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.15 |
| M3 | Bristol City · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.73 |
| M4 | Birmingham · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.80 |
| M5 | Burnley · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.37 |
| M6 | West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.39 |
| M7 | Luton · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.55 |
| M8 | Huddersfield · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.27 |
| M9 | Reading · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.62 |
| M10 | Rotherham · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +3.42 |
| M11 | Hull · Away5 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.15 |
| M12 | Cardiff · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.74 |
| M13 | Blackburn · Home11 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.40 |
| M14 | Sunderland · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.23 |
| M15 | Middlesbrough · Home19 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.07 |
| M16 | Queens Park Rangers · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.06 |
| M17 | Watford · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.29 |
| M18 | Stoke · Home2 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.60 |
| M19 | Swansea · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −3.59 |
| M20 | Coventry · Away8 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.56 |
| M21 | Blackpool · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.05 |
| M22 | Millwall · Away10 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.01 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Home19 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.93 |
| M24 | Middlesbrough · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.66 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Home29 Dec 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.09 |
| M26 | Hull · Home2 Jan 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.40 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.44 |
| M28 | Luton · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −8.62 |
| M29 | Blackburn · Away6 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −8.67 |
| M30 | Huddersfield · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −7.18 |
| M31 | Bristol City · Away15 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −7.19 |
| M32 | Norwich · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.23 |
| M33 | Preston · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −8.49 |
| M34 | Birmingham · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −9.02 |
| M35 | West Bromwich Albion · Away7 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −9.71 |
| M36 | Burnley · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −10.19 |
| M37 | Coventry · Home14 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −10.30 |
| M38 | Watford · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −10.08 |
| M39 | Queens Park Rangers · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −8.51 |
| M40 | Sheffield United · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | −9.06 |
| M41 | Swansea · Home10 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.20 |
| M42 | Blackpool · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −11.28 |
| M43 | Stoke · Away18 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | −9.09 |
| M44 | Millwall · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −7.17 |
| M45 | Reading · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −7.48 |
| M46 | Rotherham · Home8 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −7.79 |
| Total | 45 | −7.79 | |||