Points
50Points expected by the market
54.74Gap
−4.74Yield
−21.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.52 | −11.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 32 | +4.58 | +23.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 6 | −8.80 | −77.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.44 | +3.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +4.79 | +36.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.21 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −7.24 | −73.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swansea · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 |
| M2 | Leeds · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.89 |
| M3 | Bristol City · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.72 |
| M4 | Plymouth · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.98 |
| M5 | Millwall · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +4.50 |
| M6 | Watford · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +3.47 |
| M7 | Preston · Away19 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.31 |
| M8 | Queens Park Rangers · Home22 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.52 |
| M9 | Norwich · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.56 |
| M10 | Huddersfield · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.94 |
| M11 | West Bromwich Albion · Home6 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.63 |
| M12 | Middlesbrough · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.78 |
| M13 | Hull · Home25 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.35 |
| M14 | Southampton · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.68 |
| M15 | Ipswich · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.67 |
| M16 | Sunderland · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.12 |
| M17 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.32 |
| M18 | Blackburn · Away29 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.42 |
| M19 | Rotherham · Home2 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.59 |
| M20 | Coventry · Away8 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.44 |
| M21 | Cardiff · Away13 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.56 |
| M22 | Leicester · Home18 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.09 |
| M23 | Plymouth · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.21 |
| M24 | Stoke · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.52 |
| M25 | Bristol City · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.79 |
| M26 | Leeds · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −2.23 |
| M27 | Swansea · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −2.76 |
| M28 | Stoke · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −0.86 |
| M29 | West Bromwich Albion · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.65 |
| M30 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away9 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.88 |
| M31 | Blackburn · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.36 |
| M32 | Sunderland · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.26 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.41 |
| M34 | Southampton · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.31 |
| M35 | Hull · Away5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.13 |
| M36 | Millwall · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.25 |
| M37 | Middlesbrough · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.48 |
| M38 | Watford · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −5.00 |
| M39 | Queens Park Rangers · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.02 |
| M40 | Preston · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −4.63 |
| M41 | Leicester · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −5.13 |
| M42 | Cardiff · Home10 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −6.92 |
| M43 | Coventry · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.05 |
| M44 | Rotherham · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | −6.01 |
| M45 | Huddersfield · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −6.31 |
| M46 | Norwich · Home4 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.74 |
| Total | 50 | −4.74 | |||