Points
53Points expected by the market
62.12Gap
−9.12Yield
−1.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −4.95 | −28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 30 | −1.35 | −0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.69 | +33.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 11 | −6.33 | −41.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +0.29 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.63 | +2.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +1.32 | +109.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Bromwich Albion · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.71 |
| M2 | Rotherham · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.13 |
| M3 | Hull · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −0.64 |
| M4 | Watford · Away27 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.19 |
| M5 | Plymouth · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.28 |
| M6 | Middlesbrough · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.23 |
| M7 | Sunderland · Home20 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.29 |
| M8 | Ipswich · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.12 |
| M9 | Leicester · Home1 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.17 |
| M10 | Coventry · Away4 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.30 |
| M11 | Queens Park Rangers · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.93 |
| M12 | Cardiff · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.60 |
| M13 | Millwall · Away24 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.05 |
| M14 | Swansea · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −0.68 |
| M15 | Norwich · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.13 |
| M16 | Preston · Home10 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.54 |
| M17 | Stoke · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.30 |
| M18 | Birmingham · Home29 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.44 |
| M19 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +1.06 |
| M20 | Leeds · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.20 |
| M21 | Bristol City · Home12 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.53 |
| M22 | Southampton · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.70 |
| M23 | Watford · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.67 |
| M24 | Huddersfield · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.23 |
| M25 | Hull · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.20 |
| M26 | Rotherham · Home1 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.13 | −4.33 |
| M27 | West Bromwich Albion · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.26 |
| M28 | Huddersfield · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −6.06 |
| M29 | Queens Park Rangers · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −7.81 |
| M30 | Stoke · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.33 |
| M31 | Birmingham · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.59 |
| M32 | Preston · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −7.92 |
| M33 | Cardiff · Away20 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −8.41 |
| M34 | Norwich · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −8.79 |
| M35 | Swansea · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −9.88 |
| M36 | Millwall · Home5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −10.47 |
| M37 | Plymouth · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −11.26 |
| M38 | Middlesbrough · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −11.17 |
| M39 | Ipswich · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −12.21 |
| M40 | Sunderland · Away1 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −10.35 |
| M41 | Southampton · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −10.40 |
| M42 | Bristol City · Away10 Apr 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.35 | −11.75 |
| M43 | Leeds · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.50 | −9.25 |
| M44 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −10.86 |
| M45 | Coventry · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −11.41 |
| M46 | Leicester · Away4 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.29 | −9.12 |
| Total | 53 | −9.12 | |||