Points
62Points expected by the market
58.27Gap
+3.73Yield
+13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.75 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 35 | +1.81 | +4.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 17 | +2.93 | +39.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.03 | −59.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +3.88 | +37.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.41 | +136.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.07 | −42.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.52 | +7.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | Millwall · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +1.41 |
| M3 | Birmingham · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.12 |
| M4 | Hull · Away25 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.32 |
| M5 | Swansea · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.53 |
| M6 | West Bromwich Albion · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.99 |
| M7 | Plymouth · Home19 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.99 |
| M8 | Leicester · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.18 |
| M9 | Stoke · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.23 |
| M10 | Rotherham · Away4 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.05 |
| M11 | Leeds · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +0.41 |
| M12 | Coventry · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.12 |
| M13 | Ipswich · Home25 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.14 |
| M14 | Cardiff · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.09 |
| M15 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.52 |
| M16 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.05 |
| M17 | Middlesbrough · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.95 |
| M18 | Southampton · Away29 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.16 |
| M19 | Norwich · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.61 |
| M20 | Huddersfield · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.17 |
| M21 | Blackburn · Away12 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.89 |
| M22 | Sunderland · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.85 |
| M23 | Hull · Home22 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.54 |
| M24 | Watford · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.56 |
| M25 | Birmingham · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.12 |
| M26 | Millwall · Home1 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | +2.54 |
| M27 | Preston · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.27 |
| M28 | Watford · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.73 |
| M29 | Coventry · Away30 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.86 |
| M30 | Leeds · Home2 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.03 |
| M31 | Middlesbrough · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +2.10 |
| M32 | Southampton · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +4.17 |
| M33 | Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +2.53 |
| M34 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.19 |
| M35 | Cardiff · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.55 |
| M36 | Ipswich · Away5 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.32 |
| M37 | Swansea · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.15 |
| M38 | West Bromwich Albion · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.72 |
| M39 | Leicester · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.49 |
| M40 | Plymouth · Away1 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.05 |
| M41 | Sunderland · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.89 |
| M42 | Blackburn · Home10 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.53 |
| M43 | Huddersfield · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +3.98 |
| M44 | Norwich · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +4.16 |
| M45 | Rotherham · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.90 |
| M46 | Stoke · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.73 |
| Total | 62 | +3.73 | |||