Points
70Points expected by the market
64.64Gap
+5.36Yield
+20.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.43 | +1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 25 | −4.39 | −39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 19 | +9.35 | +154.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +0.24 | +3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.89 | −75.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.67 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.50 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 18 | +9.38 | +180.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Norwich · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.65 |
| M3 | Blackburn · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.68 |
| M4 | Bristol City · Home25 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +2.16 |
| M5 | Leicester · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +4.51 |
| M6 | Coventry · Home15 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +4.16 |
| M7 | Leeds · Home20 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.13 |
| M8 | Stoke · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +6.09 |
| M9 | Plymouth · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +5.29 |
| M10 | Ipswich · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +4.37 |
| M11 | Millwall · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +4.10 |
| M12 | Southampton · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.86 |
| M13 | Birmingham · Away25 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.59 |
| M14 | Preston · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.87 |
| M15 | West Bromwich Albion · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.89 |
| M16 | Huddersfield · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.01 |
| M17 | Swansea · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.57 |
| M18 | Rotherham · Home28 Nov 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +6.40 |
| M19 | Watford · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +4.70 |
| M20 | Queens Park Rangers · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +3.19 |
| M21 | Middlesbrough · Away13 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +5.21 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +6.32 |
| M23 | Bristol City · Away22 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +4.92 |
| M24 | Sunderland · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.58 |
| M25 | Blackburn · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.79 |
| M26 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +3.37 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home12 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.86 |
| M28 | Sunderland · Away19 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.93 |
| M29 | Millwall · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +5.18 |
| M30 | Swansea · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +3.28 |
| M31 | Rotherham · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.42 |
| M32 | Huddersfield · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.05 |
| M33 | Southampton · Away20 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.29 | +8.34 |
| M34 | West Bromwich Albion · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +7.81 |
| M35 | Preston · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +7.37 |
| M36 | Birmingham · Home5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +6.42 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +6.29 |
| M38 | Stoke · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +4.55 |
| M39 | Leeds · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +4.00 |
| M40 | Cardiff · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.47 |
| M41 | Middlesbrough · Home10 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +5.00 |
| M42 | Queens Park Rangers · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +6.34 |
| M43 | Watford · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.90 |
| M44 | Coventry · Away24 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +7.49 |
| M45 | Ipswich · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.32 | +7.17 |
| M46 | Plymouth · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | +5.36 |
| Total | 70 | +5.36 | |||