Points
96Points expected by the market
80.40Gap
+15.60Yield
+14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.70 | +33.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 29 | 65 | +10.78 | +16.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +2.96 | +21.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.70 | +33.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 38 | +7.08 | +17.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.16 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +3.69 | +14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.12 | +37.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sunderland · Away6 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.54 |
| M2 | Stoke · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.90 |
| M3 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.95 |
| M4 | Leeds · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.46 |
| M5 | Cardiff · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.38 |
| M6 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.65 |
| M7 | Southampton · Away19 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +6.47 |
| M8 | Blackburn · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.06 | +7.53 |
| M9 | Huddersfield · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +6.87 |
| M10 | Hull · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.03 |
| M11 | Preston · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.90 | +8.93 |
| M12 | Bristol City · Away25 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +10.17 |
| M13 | Plymouth · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.73 | +10.90 |
| M14 | Birmingham · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +10.16 |
| M15 | Rotherham · Away7 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | +9.13 |
| M16 | Swansea · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +10.07 |
| M17 | West Bromwich Albion · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +8.80 |
| M18 | Millwall · Home29 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +9.79 |
| M19 | Coventry · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +10.95 |
| M20 | Middlesbrough · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +12.75 |
| M21 | Watford · Away12 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +14.28 |
| M22 | Norwich · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | +13.21 |
| M23 | Leeds · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.92 | +12.29 |
| M24 | Leicester · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +12.09 |
| M25 | Queens Park Rangers · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | +11.05 |
| M26 | Stoke · Away1 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +10.58 |
| M27 | Sunderland · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +11.94 |
| M28 | Leicester · Away22 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +12.02 |
| M29 | Preston · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | +10.34 |
| M30 | West Bromwich Albion · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +9.62 |
| M31 | Millwall · Away14 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +10.91 |
| M32 | Swansea · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +12.12 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Home20 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.55 | +12.68 |
| M34 | Birmingham · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +13.56 |
| M35 | Plymouth · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +14.75 |
| M36 | Bristol City · Home5 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.01 | +15.76 |
| M37 | Cardiff · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +13.85 |
| M38 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +14.81 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +16.11 |
| M40 | Southampton · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +17.64 |
| M41 | Norwich · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +16.22 |
| M42 | Watford · Home10 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.09 | +15.13 |
| M43 | Middlesbrough · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +14.31 |
| M44 | Hull · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.41 | +13.89 |
| M45 | Coventry · Away30 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +15.06 |
| M46 | Huddersfield · Home4 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +15.60 |
| Total | 96 | +15.60 | |||