Points
90Points expected by the market
91.96Gap
−1.96Yield
−3.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 19 | 44 | +0.07 | −9.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 40 | −1.06 | −3.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.97 | +25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 39 | +1.80 | −1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.03 | +3.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.73 | −54.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −2.08 | −7.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.97 | +25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cardiff · Home6 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.16 |
| M2 | Birmingham · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.71 |
| M3 | West Bromwich Albion · Home18 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −3.35 |
| M4 | Ipswich · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.59 |
| M5 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | −2.75 |
| M6 | Millwall · Away17 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.43 |
| M7 | Hull · Away20 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.14 |
| M8 | Watford · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −1.02 |
| M9 | Southampton · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.53 |
| M10 | Queens Park Rangers · Home4 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −1.88 |
| M11 | Bristol City · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.03 |
| M12 | Norwich · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.31 |
| M13 | Stoke · Away25 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −1.49 |
| M14 | Huddersfield · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.84 |
| M15 | Leicester · Away3 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.04 |
| M16 | Plymouth · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.58 |
| M17 | Rotherham · Away24 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | +0.24 |
| M18 | Swansea · Home29 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +0.89 |
| M19 | Middlesbrough · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.92 |
| M20 | Blackburn · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.01 |
| M21 | Sunderland · Away12 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +1.42 |
| M22 | Coventry · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | +0.34 |
| M23 | Ipswich · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.50 |
| M24 | Preston · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.07 | −0.57 |
| M25 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.13 |
| M26 | Birmingham · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.59 | −1.54 |
| M27 | Cardiff · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.52 |
| M28 | Preston · Home21 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +0.07 |
| M29 | Norwich · Home24 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.81 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Away2 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.96 |
| M31 | Rotherham · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +2.36 |
| M32 | Swansea · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.35 |
| M33 | Plymouth · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.07 |
| M34 | Leicester · Home23 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.45 |
| M35 | Huddersfield · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +4.39 |
| M36 | Stoke · Home5 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +5.13 |
| M37 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away8 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +6.05 |
| M38 | Millwall · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +6.67 |
| M39 | Watford · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | +5.55 |
| M40 | Hull · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +6.29 |
| M41 | Coventry · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | +4.61 |
| M42 | Sunderland · Home9 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.33 | +3.29 |
| M43 | Blackburn · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.33 | +0.96 |
| M44 | Middlesbrough · Away22 Apr 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.98 |
| M45 | Queens Park Rangers · Away26 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −2.00 | −0.02 |
| M46 | Southampton · Home4 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −1.96 |
| Total | 90 | −1.96 | |||