Points
97Points expected by the market
88.84Gap
+8.16Yield
+14.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 33 | +3.29 | +14.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 54 | +4.54 | +13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.33 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 27 | +3.79 | +19.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 25 | −0.43 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.50 | −2.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 29 | +4.97 | +25.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.33 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coventry · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.16 |
| M2 | Huddersfield · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.41 |
| M3 | Cardiff · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +3.30 |
| M4 | Rotherham · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +4.26 |
| M5 | Hull · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.14 | +2.12 |
| M6 | Southampton · Away15 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.87 |
| M7 | Norwich · Away20 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +5.59 |
| M8 | Bristol City · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.63 |
| M9 | Blackburn · Away1 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +7.92 |
| M10 | Preston · Home4 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +8.78 |
| M11 | Stoke · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +9.62 |
| M12 | Swansea · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +10.77 |
| M13 | Sunderland · Home24 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +11.70 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +12.53 |
| M15 | Leeds · Home3 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +10.90 |
| M16 | Middlesbrough · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +9.47 |
| M17 | Watford · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +10.49 |
| M18 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away29 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | +9.46 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +10.96 |
| M20 | Plymouth · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +11.51 |
| M21 | Millwall · Home13 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.75 | +12.25 |
| M22 | Birmingham · Away18 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.86 | +13.11 |
| M23 | Rotherham · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +13.54 |
| M24 | Ipswich · Away26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +13.02 |
| M25 | Cardiff · Away29 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +13.98 |
| M26 | Huddersfield · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +14.54 |
| M27 | Coventry · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +12.97 |
| M28 | Ipswich · Home22 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +12.15 |
| M29 | Swansea · Home30 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +12.84 |
| M30 | Stoke · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +14.10 |
| M31 | Watford · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +15.40 |
| M32 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +15.99 |
| M33 | Middlesbrough · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.07 | +13.92 |
| M34 | Leeds · Away23 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +12.80 |
| M35 | Queens Park Rangers · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.09 | +10.72 |
| M36 | Sunderland · Away5 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +11.89 |
| M37 | Hull · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +11.31 |
| M38 | Bristol City · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | +9.34 |
| M39 | Norwich · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +10.35 |
| M40 | Birmingham · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +11.02 |
| M41 | Millwall · Away9 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.95 | +9.07 |
| M42 | Plymouth · Away12 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.19 | +6.88 |
| M43 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +7.80 |
| M44 | Southampton · Home23 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.10 |
| M45 | Preston · Away29 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +10.23 |
| M46 | Blackburn · Home4 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.08 | +8.16 |
| Total | 97 | +8.16 | |||