Points
59Points expected by the market
57.58Gap
+1.42Yield
+8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.26 | −1.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 30 | +2.24 | +6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 15 | −0.56 | +16.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.71 | +13.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −1.87 | −19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.94 | +31.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.97 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +4.11 | +40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 12 | +0.37 | +12.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Middlesbrough · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.89 |
| M2 | Bristol City · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +0.12 |
| M3 | Norwich · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.90 |
| M4 | Stoke · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.69 |
| M5 | Birmingham · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.48 |
| M6 | Leeds · Home17 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.57 |
| M7 | Rotherham · Home20 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.48 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.41 |
| M9 | Swansea · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.16 |
| M10 | Plymouth · Away3 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.52 |
| M11 | Hull · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.09 |
| M12 | Preston · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.14 |
| M13 | Blackburn · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.51 |
| M14 | Watford · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.57 |
| M15 | Southampton · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.66 |
| M16 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.90 |
| M17 | Coventry · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.27 |
| M18 | Ipswich · Away29 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.03 |
| M19 | Sunderland · Home2 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.21 |
| M20 | Cardiff · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.31 |
| M21 | Leicester · Away13 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −4.85 |
| M22 | Huddersfield · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −5.78 |
| M23 | Stoke · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −5.82 |
| M24 | Queens Park Rangers · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.42 |
| M25 | Norwich · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.94 |
| M26 | Bristol City · Away1 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −1.07 |
| M27 | Middlesbrough · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.28 |
| M28 | Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Preston · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −4.21 |
| M30 | Hull · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.18 |
| M31 | Coventry · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −6.06 |
| M32 | Ipswich · Home14 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −7.08 |
| M33 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −8.66 |
| M34 | Southampton · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.42 | −6.24 |
| M35 | Watford · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.66 |
| M36 | Blackburn · Away5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.78 |
| M37 | Birmingham · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.37 |
| M38 | Leeds · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | −3.81 |
| M39 | West Bromwich Albion · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −4.01 |
| M40 | Rotherham · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −5.98 |
| M41 | Huddersfield · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −7.22 |
| M42 | Leicester · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −5.01 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −3.75 |
| M44 | Sunderland · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.85 |
| M45 | Plymouth · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.52 |
| M46 | Swansea · Away4 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.42 |
| Total | 59 | +1.42 | |||