Points
73Points expected by the market
67.26Gap
+5.74Yield
+0.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.58 | +42.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 36 | +5.45 | +20.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 25 | +1.01 | +6.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.29 | −59.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.58 | +42.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 33 | +7.60 | +31.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.12 | +58.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.15 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.12 | −13.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.17 | −48.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hull · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.15 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.10 |
| M3 | Millwall · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.38 |
| M4 | Huddersfield · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.72 |
| M5 | Rotherham · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +1.87 |
| M6 | Stoke · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.12 |
| M7 | Leicester · Home20 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.67 |
| M8 | Plymouth · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 2-6 | 0 | −1.64 | +0.02 |
| M9 | Birmingham · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.24 |
| M10 | Swansea · Away4 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.15 |
| M11 | Coventry · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.44 |
| M12 | Leeds · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.52 |
| M13 | Middlesbrough · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.85 |
| M14 | Sunderland · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.88 |
| M15 | Blackburn · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −5.44 |
| M16 | Cardiff · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | −3.49 |
| M17 | Queens Park Rangers · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.38 |
| M18 | Watford · Away28 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.53 |
| M19 | Bristol City · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −1.69 |
| M20 | Preston · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −2.49 |
| M21 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home13 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.31 |
| M22 | Ipswich · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.29 | −1.02 |
| M23 | Huddersfield · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.04 |
| M24 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.02 |
| M25 | Millwall · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.20 |
| M26 | Southampton · Home1 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.25 |
| M27 | Hull · Away12 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.48 |
| M28 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.18 |
| M29 | Leeds · Away24 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | +0.62 |
| M30 | Coventry · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.17 |
| M31 | Queens Park Rangers · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.85 |
| M32 | Watford · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.23 |
| M33 | Cardiff · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.32 |
| M34 | Blackburn · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +3.97 |
| M35 | Sunderland · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.18 |
| M36 | Middlesbrough · Away6 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.87 |
| M37 | Rotherham · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +4.58 |
| M38 | Stoke · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.25 |
| M39 | Plymouth · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +7.12 |
| M40 | Leicester · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.78 | +6.34 |
| M41 | Ipswich · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +8.03 |
| M42 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away9 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +7.46 |
| M43 | Preston · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.94 |
| M44 | Bristol City · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +8.00 |
| M45 | Swansea · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +7.05 |
| M46 | Birmingham · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +5.74 |
| Total | 73 | +5.74 | |||