Points
63Points expected by the market
53.77Gap
+9.23Yield
+21.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.32 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 38 | +6.71 | +30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 19 | +1.99 | +12.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.32 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 25 | +1.47 | +7.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.36 | +226.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +5.24 | +97.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 13 | −1.37 | −25.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol City · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 |
| M2 | Sunderland · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.49 |
| M3 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.20 |
| M4 | Swansea · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.73 |
| M5 | Stoke · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +6.75 |
| M6 | Plymouth · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +8.05 |
| M7 | Birmingham · Home19 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.53 |
| M8 | Rotherham · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +8.95 |
| M9 | West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.42 | +7.53 |
| M10 | Leicester · Away4 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | +6.90 |
| M11 | Ipswich · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.68 | +6.22 |
| M12 | Millwall · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +5.74 |
| M13 | Southampton · Home25 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +5.56 |
| M14 | Hull · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +4.55 |
| M15 | Coventry · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +6.24 |
| M16 | Blackburn · Away10 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +8.18 |
| M17 | Cardiff · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +6.66 |
| M18 | Middlesbrough · Away28 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.80 | +5.86 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Home1 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +4.24 |
| M20 | Norwich · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | +4.30 |
| M21 | Huddersfield · Away12 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.96 |
| M22 | Watford · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.63 |
| M23 | Swansea · Away22 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +3.59 |
| M24 | Leeds · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.30 | +5.89 |
| M25 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | +4.32 |
| M26 | Sunderland · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +3.53 |
| M27 | Bristol City · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.12 |
| M28 | Leeds · Away21 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.42 | +4.70 |
| M29 | Millwall · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +4.64 |
| M30 | Ipswich · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.96 | +6.61 |
| M31 | Cardiff · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +8.38 |
| M32 | Middlesbrough · Home14 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +10.19 |
| M33 | Blackburn · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +9.80 |
| M34 | Coventry · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +11.99 |
| M35 | Hull · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +11.73 |
| M36 | Stoke · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | +10.31 |
| M37 | Plymouth · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +12.09 |
| M38 | Rotherham · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +12.95 |
| M39 | Birmingham · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +11.84 |
| M40 | Watford · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +11.79 |
| M41 | Huddersfield · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +13.35 |
| M42 | Norwich · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +12.16 |
| M43 | Southampton · Away16 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +11.70 |
| M44 | Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +10.74 |
| M45 | Leicester · Home29 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +9.84 |
| M46 | West Bromwich Albion · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +9.23 |
| Total | 63 | +9.23 | |||