Points
27Points expected by the market
34.60Gap
−7.60Yield
−48.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −0.95 | −43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 40 | 21 | −6.65 | −48.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −0.95 | −43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 17 | +3.37 | +20.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 4 | −10.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stoke · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Blackburn · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.93 |
| M3 | Sunderland · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.67 |
| M4 | Leicester · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −2.40 |
| M5 | Norwich · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.31 |
| M6 | Huddersfield · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.23 |
| M7 | Millwall · Away20 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.03 |
| M8 | Preston · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −2.16 |
| M9 | Cardiff · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.87 |
| M10 | Bristol City · Home4 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.88 |
| M11 | Southampton · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | −3.33 |
| M12 | Coventry · Home25 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −1.15 |
| M13 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.03 |
| M14 | Queens Park Rangers · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.29 |
| M15 | Ipswich · Home7 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.03 |
| M16 | Watford · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.64 |
| M17 | Leeds · Home24 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | −2.12 |
| M18 | Hull · Away28 Nov 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.74 |
| M19 | Birmingham · Away2 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.49 |
| M20 | Swansea · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.64 |
| M21 | West Bromwich Albion · Home12 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.38 |
| M22 | Plymouth · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.22 |
| M23 | Leicester · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −5.52 |
| M24 | Middlesbrough · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −3.29 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −2.93 |
| M26 | Blackburn · Away1 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | −2.59 |
| M27 | Stoke · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.60 |
| M28 | Middlesbrough · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.54 | −3.06 |
| M29 | Southampton · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.54 |
| M30 | Leeds · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −3.82 |
| M31 | Hull · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −4.69 |
| M32 | Watford · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.67 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Away20 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −6.06 |
| M34 | Queens Park Rangers · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.81 |
| M35 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.96 |
| M36 | Coventry · Away5 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −8.47 |
| M37 | Norwich · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.52 | −8.99 |
| M38 | Huddersfield · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −8.86 |
| M39 | Preston · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −9.48 |
| M40 | Millwall · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −7.25 |
| M41 | Plymouth · Home5 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −8.27 |
| M42 | West Bromwich Albion · Away10 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −8.63 |
| M43 | Swansea · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −9.14 |
| M44 | Birmingham · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −8.93 |
| M45 | Bristol City · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −9.48 |
| M46 | Cardiff · Home4 May 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.87 | −7.60 |
| Total | 27 | −7.60 | |||