Points
53Points expected by the market
53.04Gap
−0.04Yield
−6.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.77 | +24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 36 | +1.50 | +3.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −2.31 | −29.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.77 | +24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.57 | −7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.44 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.08 | +22.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −0.87 | −13.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home4 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.19 |
| M2 | Hull · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.43 |
| M3 | Preston · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.84 |
| M4 | Cardiff · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −4.96 |
| M5 | Leeds · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −4.60 |
| M6 | Ipswich · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.61 |
| M7 | Middlesbrough · Home19 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.72 |
| M8 | Swansea · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.77 |
| M9 | Sunderland · Home29 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.91 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.64 |
| M11 | Huddersfield · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −8.99 |
| M12 | Watford · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −9.88 |
| M13 | Plymouth · Away25 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.06 |
| M14 | Rotherham · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −9.92 |
| M15 | Bristol City · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −11.05 |
| M16 | Millwall · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.44 | −12.49 |
| M17 | Birmingham · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −13.63 |
| M18 | Leicester · Home29 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −13.37 |
| M19 | Blackburn · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −11.71 |
| M20 | Stoke · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −9.79 |
| M21 | Norwich · Away13 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −10.71 |
| M22 | Queens Park Rangers · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −9.28 |
| M23 | Cardiff · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −10.90 |
| M24 | Coventry · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −11.78 |
| M25 | Preston · Away29 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −9.90 |
| M26 | Hull · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −8.19 |
| M27 | Southampton · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −8.72 |
| M28 | Coventry · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −9.81 |
| M29 | Watford · Home31 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −10.23 |
| M30 | Huddersfield · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −11.49 |
| M31 | Birmingham · Home9 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −9.98 |
| M32 | Leicester · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −10.40 |
| M33 | Millwall · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −8.52 |
| M34 | Bristol City · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −6.89 |
| M35 | Rotherham · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −5.44 |
| M36 | Plymouth · Home5 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −4.19 |
| M37 | Leeds · Home8 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.89 |
| M38 | Ipswich · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.74 | −5.63 |
| M39 | Swansea · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −6.04 |
| M40 | Middlesbrough · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.94 |
| M41 | Queens Park Rangers · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −4.92 |
| M42 | Norwich · Home9 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −5.06 |
| M43 | Stoke · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −5.42 |
| M44 | Blackburn · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.54 |
| M45 | West Bromwich Albion · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −1.83 |
| M46 | Sunderland · Away4 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.04 |
| Total | 53 | −0.04 | |||