Points
87Points expected by the market
83.79Gap
+3.21Yield
+4.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 28 | +0.21 | +0.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 38 | +2.38 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | −0.49 | −5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.11 | +130.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +1.93 | +7.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +0.70 | +1.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.26 | −1.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.72 | −34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.68 | −0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.78 | −6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.11 | +130.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away4 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.47 |
| M2 | Norwich · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.78 |
| M3 | Plymouth · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.90 |
| M4 | Queens Park Rangers · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.60 |
| M5 | Sunderland · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.16 |
| M6 | Leicester · Home15 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.32 |
| M7 | Ipswich · Home19 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.87 |
| M8 | Middlesbrough · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.06 |
| M9 | Leeds · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.29 |
| M10 | Stoke · Away3 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.27 |
| M11 | Rotherham · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | −1.11 |
| M12 | Hull · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.40 |
| M13 | Preston · Away25 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.13 |
| M14 | Birmingham · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.76 |
| M15 | Millwall · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.11 |
| M16 | West Bromwich Albion · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.39 |
| M17 | Huddersfield · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +2.53 |
| M18 | Bristol City · Home29 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.55 |
| M19 | Cardiff · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.57 |
| M20 | Watford · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +4.11 |
| M21 | Coventry · Away13 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +3.77 |
| M22 | Blackburn · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +4.82 |
| M23 | Queens Park Rangers · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +5.98 |
| M24 | Swansea · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +6.80 |
| M25 | Plymouth · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +7.44 |
| M26 | Norwich · Away1 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +6.75 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +7.46 |
| M28 | Swansea · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +8.46 |
| M29 | Rotherham · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +9.11 |
| M30 | Huddersfield · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.57 | +9.68 |
| M31 | Bristol City · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.83 | +7.85 |
| M32 | West Bromwich Albion · Away16 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.33 |
| M33 | Hull · Home20 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.08 | +7.25 |
| M34 | Millwall · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.22 | +5.03 |
| M35 | Birmingham · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.13 | +6.16 |
| M36 | Sunderland · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.68 | +6.84 |
| M37 | Middlesbrough · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +5.78 |
| M38 | Ipswich · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +4.50 |
| M39 | Blackburn · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.80 |
| M40 | Coventry · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.93 |
| M41 | Watford · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.78 | +5.70 |
| M42 | Preston · Home16 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +6.34 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.37 | +3.97 |
| M44 | Leicester · Away23 Apr 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.91 |
| M45 | Stoke · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | +1.05 |
| M46 | Leeds · Away4 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +3.21 |
| Total | 87 | +3.21 | |||