Points
57Points expected by the market
56.78Gap
+0.22Yield
−9.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.85 | +15.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 26 | −0.89 | −14.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −1.43 | −21.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.42 | +2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.55 | −14.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.41 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.42 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | +0.67 | −13.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.98 | +7.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | West Bromwich Albion · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.86 |
| M3 | Coventry · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.40 |
| M4 | Preston · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.64 |
| M5 | Bristol City · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −5.20 |
| M6 | Cardiff · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.43 |
| M7 | Queens Park Rangers · Away19 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −6.81 |
| M8 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.48 |
| M9 | Millwall · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.63 |
| M10 | Norwich · Home4 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.95 |
| M11 | Plymouth · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.26 |
| M12 | Leicester · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.17 |
| M13 | Watford · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.63 |
| M14 | Blackburn · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.66 |
| M15 | Sunderland · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.92 |
| M16 | Ipswich · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.65 |
| M17 | Hull · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.92 |
| M18 | Leeds · Away29 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −2.40 |
| M19 | Huddersfield · Home2 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.15 |
| M20 | Rotherham · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.72 |
| M21 | Stoke · Away12 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.82 |
| M22 | Middlesbrough · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.97 |
| M23 | Preston · Home22 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.66 |
| M24 | Southampton · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.28 |
| M25 | Coventry · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −2.14 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.34 |
| M27 | Birmingham · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.53 |
| M28 | Southampton · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.31 |
| M29 | Leicester · Away30 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.83 |
| M30 | Plymouth · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.51 |
| M31 | Hull · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −1.37 |
| M32 | Leeds · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.13 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.09 |
| M34 | Sunderland · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.19 |
| M35 | Blackburn · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.16 |
| M36 | Watford · Away6 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.02 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.16 |
| M38 | Cardiff · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.15 |
| M39 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.16 |
| M40 | Queens Park Rangers · Home1 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.58 |
| M41 | Middlesbrough · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.49 |
| M42 | Stoke · Home10 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.88 |
| M43 | Rotherham · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −0.19 |
| M44 | Huddersfield · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.71 |
| M45 | Norwich · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.89 |
| M46 | Millwall · Home4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +0.22 |
| Total | 57 | +0.22 | |||