Points
56Points expected by the market
62.12Gap
−6.12Yield
−31.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 20 | −2.34 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 27 | −1.94 | −24.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −2.65 | −61.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.98 | −28.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −5.64 | −73.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.63 | −2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +3.71 | +9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.93 | −52.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park Rangers · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.18 |
| M2 | Plymouth · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +0.30 |
| M3 | Stoke · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.88 |
| M4 | Blackburn · Home27 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.45 |
| M5 | Coventry · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.63 |
| M6 | Birmingham · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.33 |
| M7 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.91 |
| M8 | Leeds · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.78 |
| M9 | Middlesbrough · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.14 |
| M10 | Sunderland · Away4 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.22 |
| M11 | Cardiff · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −5.38 |
| M12 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −4.22 |
| M13 | Swansea · Away24 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.47 |
| M14 | Millwall · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −3.11 |
| M15 | Huddersfield · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.74 |
| M16 | Rotherham · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −2.92 |
| M17 | Leicester · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −3.70 |
| M18 | Norwich · Home28 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | −2.28 |
| M19 | Hull · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −0.30 |
| M20 | Southampton · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.56 |
| M21 | Ipswich · Home12 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.81 |
| M22 | Preston · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −0.17 |
| M23 | Blackburn · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.47 |
| M24 | Bristol City · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.27 |
| M25 | Stoke · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.92 |
| M26 | Plymouth · Away1 Jan 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.34 |
| M27 | Queens Park Rangers · Away14 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.32 |
| M28 | Bristol City · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.15 |
| M29 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away31 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.14 |
| M30 | Cardiff · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.91 |
| M31 | Leicester · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.96 |
| M32 | Norwich · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.07 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.81 |
| M34 | Huddersfield · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.49 |
| M35 | Millwall · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.77 |
| M36 | Swansea · Home6 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −6.35 |
| M37 | Coventry · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −7.62 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.82 |
| M39 | Leeds · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.33 | −5.50 |
| M40 | West Bromwich Albion · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −5.47 |
| M41 | Preston · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.13 |
| M42 | Ipswich · Away10 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.30 | −5.83 |
| M43 | Southampton · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −6.42 |
| M44 | Hull · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.70 |
| M45 | Sunderland · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.20 |
| M46 | Middlesbrough · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −6.12 |
| Total | 56 | −6.12 | |||