Points
53Points expected by the market
46.27Gap
+6.73Yield
−2.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 33 | +10.42 | +51.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 17 | −4.95 | −41.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +92.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 30 | +11.03 | +82.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.34 | −29.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −3.60 | −45.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Norwich · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.77 |
| M2 | Coventry · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.95 |
| M3 | Blackburn · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.17 |
| M4 | Preston · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.81 |
| M5 | Stoke · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.60 |
| M6 | Bristol City · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.70 |
| M7 | Burnley · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.56 |
| M8 | Luton · Away1 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +2.74 |
| M9 | Portsmouth · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.41 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.40 |
| M11 | Derby · Home22 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.02 |
| M12 | Sunderland · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +1.29 |
| M13 | Swansea · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.09 |
| M14 | Hull · Home5 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.83 |
| M15 | Watford · Away8 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.98 |
| M16 | Middlesbrough · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.11 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Away26 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.47 |
| M18 | Millwall · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.52 |
| M19 | Queens Park Rangers · Away11 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.49 |
| M20 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.55 |
| M21 | Leeds · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.29 | −2.84 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.20 |
| M23 | Plymouth · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.06 |
| M24 | Millwall · Away1 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +2.21 |
| M25 | Preston · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +2.25 |
| M26 | Plymouth · Away14 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.11 |
| M27 | Blackburn · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.95 |
| M28 | Luton · Home21 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +5.77 |
| M29 | Stoke · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +5.62 |
| M30 | Bristol City · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +5.43 |
| M31 | Burnley · Away4 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | +4.79 |
| M32 | Derby · Away11 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +4.72 |
| M33 | Portsmouth · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +3.23 |
| M34 | West Bromwich Albion · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.44 |
| M35 | Coventry · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.45 |
| M36 | Norwich · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +1.71 |
| M37 | Hull · Away12 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.93 |
| M38 | Watford · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.67 |
| M39 | Middlesbrough · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +1.97 |
| M40 | Sheffield United · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +4.12 |
| M41 | Queens Park Rangers · Home9 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +2.69 |
| M42 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +4.96 |
| M43 | Leeds · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | +4.46 |
| M44 | Cardiff · Away21 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +4.58 |
| M45 | Sunderland · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +6.47 |
| M46 | Swansea · Away3 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.25 | +6.73 |
| Total | 53 | +6.73 | |||