Points
92Points expected by the market
73.64Gap
+18.36Yield
+29.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.63 | −8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 45 | +8.32 | +29.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 41 | +15.58 | +70.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −4.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.48 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 38 | +8.25 | +35.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.05 | −44.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.12 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.08 | +8.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 36 | +16.64 | +102.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.98 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preston · Away9 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.45 |
| M2 | Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +0.53 |
| M3 | Norwich · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.16 |
| M4 | Watford · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Hull · Away13 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.76 |
| M6 | Derby · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.89 |
| M7 | Portsmouth · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | +3.04 |
| M8 | Swansea · Home2 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.16 |
| M9 | Luton · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.44 |
| M10 | Leeds · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +4.48 |
| M11 | Middlesbrough · Away23 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +3.48 |
| M12 | Stoke · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.57 |
| M13 | Blackburn · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.20 |
| M14 | Bristol City · Away5 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.67 |
| M15 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +8.80 |
| M16 | Coventry · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +8.51 |
| M17 | Oxford · Home26 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +9.29 |
| M18 | Sunderland · Home29 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +10.61 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | +10.39 |
| M20 | Millwall · Away11 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.00 |
| M21 | Plymouth · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +12.69 |
| M22 | Cardiff · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +14.19 |
| M23 | Burnley · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +12.70 |
| M24 | West Bromwich Albion · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +12.01 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Away1 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +10.96 |
| M26 | Watford · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +12.60 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +13.90 |
| M28 | Swansea · Away21 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +15.57 |
| M29 | Hull · Home24 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +13.65 |
| M30 | Derby · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +15.05 |
| M31 | Portsmouth · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +15.99 |
| M32 | Middlesbrough · Home12 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +17.43 |
| M33 | Luton · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +19.02 |
| M34 | Leeds · Home24 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +18.08 |
| M35 | Queens Park Rangers · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +19.53 |
| M36 | Preston · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +20.57 |
| M37 | Bristol City · Home11 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +19.99 |
| M38 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +21.74 |
| M39 | Coventry · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +23.11 |
| M40 | Oxford · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +21.23 |
| M41 | Millwall · Home8 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | +19.18 |
| M42 | Plymouth · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.12 | +17.06 |
| M43 | Cardiff · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +17.97 |
| M44 | Burnley · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +17.01 |
| M45 | Stoke · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +18.78 |
| M46 | Blackburn · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +18.36 |
| Total | 92 | +18.36 | |||