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← Championship 2024-25

Watford

Season 2024-25 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLLD

Points

57

Points expected by the market

57.22

Gap

−0.22

Yield

−0.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 12 14.32 −2.32 −31.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 22 35 29.50 +5.50 +23.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 16 10 13.40 −3.40 −17.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Millwall · Away10 Aug 2024 10 Aug 2024 W 3-2 3.21 1.19 3 +1.81 +1.81 +€2.21
M2 Stoke · Home17 Aug 2024 17 Aug 2024 W 3-0 2.67 1.36 3 +1.64 +3.45 +€1.67
M3 Derby · Home24 Aug 2024 24 Aug 2024 W 2-1 1.89 1.78 3 +1.22 +4.67 +€0.89
M4 Sheffield United · Away1 Sep 2024 1 Sep 2024 L 0-1 4.12 0.94 0 −0.94 +3.73 −€1.00
M5 Coventry · Home14 Sep 2024 14 Sep 2024 D 1-1 2.50 1.42 1 −0.42 +3.31 −€1.00
M6 Norwich · Away21 Sep 2024 21 Sep 2024 L 1-4 3.41 1.09 0 −1.09 +2.22 −€1.00
M7 Sunderland · Home28 Sep 2024 28 Sep 2024 W 2-1 3.05 1.20 3 +1.80 +4.02 +€2.05
M8 Preston · Away2 Oct 2024 2 Oct 2024 L 0-3 2.82 1.29 0 −1.29 +2.72 −€1.00
M9 Middlesbrough · Home5 Oct 2024 5 Oct 2024 W 2-1 3.49 1.07 3 +1.93 +4.65 +€2.49
M10 Luton · Away19 Oct 2024 19 Oct 2024 L 0-3 3.69 1.04 0 −1.04 +3.61 −€1.00
M11 Leeds · Away22 Oct 2024 22 Oct 2024 L 1-2 9.30 0.48 0 −0.48 +3.13 −€1.00
M12 Blackburn · Home26 Oct 2024 26 Oct 2024 W 1-0 2.39 1.48 3 +1.52 +4.65 +€1.39
M13 Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Nov 2024 2 Nov 2024 W 6-2 4.17 0.94 3 +2.06 +6.70 +€3.17
M14 Swansea · Away5 Nov 2024 5 Nov 2024 L 0-1 3.80 1.01 0 −1.01 +5.69 −€1.00
M15 Oxford · Home8 Nov 2024 8 Nov 2024 W 1-0 1.74 1.90 3 +1.10 +6.80 +€0.74
M16 Plymouth · Away22 Nov 2024 22 Nov 2024 D 2-2 2.18 1.57 1 −0.57 +6.22 −€1.00
M17 Bristol City · Home26 Nov 2024 26 Nov 2024 W 1-0 2.31 1.51 3 +1.49 +7.71 +€1.31
M18 Queens Park Rangers · Home30 Nov 2024 30 Nov 2024 D 0-0 1.81 1.83 1 −0.83 +6.87 −€1.00
M19 Hull · Away11 Dec 2024 11 Dec 2024 D 1-1 2.93 1.25 1 −0.25 +6.63 −€1.00
M20 West Bromwich Albion · Home15 Dec 2024 15 Dec 2024 W 2-1 2.58 1.40 3 +1.60 +8.23 +€1.58
M21 Burnley · Away21 Dec 2024 21 Dec 2024 L 1-2 5.08 0.82 0 −0.82 +7.41 −€1.00
M22 Portsmouth · Home26 Dec 2024 26 Dec 2024 W 2-1 1.85 1.79 3 +1.21 +8.62 +€0.85
M23 Cardiff · Home29 Dec 2024 29 Dec 2024 L 1-2 1.84 1.81 0 −1.81 +6.81 −€1.00
M24 Queens Park Rangers · Away1 Jan 2025 1 Jan 2025 L 1-3 2.82 1.30 0 −1.30 +5.51 −€1.00
M25 Sheffield United · Home4 Jan 2025 4 Jan 2025 L 1-2 2.68 1.35 0 −1.35 +4.16 −€1.00
M26 Cardiff · Away14 Jan 2025 14 Jan 2025 D 1-1 3.21 1.17 1 −0.17 +3.99 −€1.00
M27 Derby · Away18 Jan 2025 18 Jan 2025 W 2-0 3.75 1.04 3 +1.96 +5.95 +€2.75
M28 Preston · Home21 Jan 2025 21 Jan 2025 L 1-2 2.09 1.65 0 −1.65 +4.30 −€1.00
M29 Coventry · Away25 Jan 2025 25 Jan 2025 L 1-2 4.46 0.89 0 −0.89 +3.41 −€1.00
M30 Norwich · Home1 Feb 2025 1 Feb 2025 L 0-1 2.73 1.32 0 −1.32 +2.09 −€1.00
M31 Sunderland · Away8 Feb 2025 8 Feb 2025 D 2-2 6.74 0.63 1 +0.37 +2.46 −€1.00
M32 Leeds · Home11 Feb 2025 11 Feb 2025 L 0-4 9.08 0.51 0 −0.51 +1.95 −€1.00
M33 Middlesbrough · Away15 Feb 2025 15 Feb 2025 W 1-0 5.23 0.77 3 +2.23 +4.18 +€4.23
M34 Luton · Home23 Feb 2025 23 Feb 2025 W 2-0 2.36 1.51 3 +1.49 +5.67 +€1.36
M35 Stoke · Away1 Mar 2025 1 Mar 2025 D 0-0 2.74 1.33 1 −0.33 +5.34 −€1.00
M36 Millwall · Home8 Mar 2025 8 Mar 2025 L 1-2 2.23 1.59 0 −1.59 +3.75 −€1.00
M37 Swansea · Home12 Mar 2025 12 Mar 2025 W 1-0 2.37 1.50 3 +1.50 +5.25 +€1.37
M38 Oxford · Away15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 L 0-1 2.55 1.43 0 −1.43 +3.83 −€1.00
M39 Plymouth · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 D 0-0 1.63 1.99 1 −0.99 +2.83 −€1.00
M40 Bristol City · Away5 Apr 2025 5 Apr 2025 L 1-2 4.16 0.95 0 −0.95 +1.88 −€1.00
M41 Hull · Home8 Apr 2025 8 Apr 2025 W 1-0 2.64 1.37 3 +1.63 +3.51 +€1.64
M42 West Bromwich Albion · Away12 Apr 2025 12 Apr 2025 L 1-2 4.74 0.86 0 −0.86 +2.66 −€1.00
M43 Burnley · Home18 Apr 2025 18 Apr 2025 L 1-2 4.97 0.84 0 −0.84 +1.81 −€1.00
M44 Portsmouth · Away21 Apr 2025 21 Apr 2025 L 0-1 4.37 0.91 0 −0.91 +0.90 −€1.00
M45 Blackburn · Away26 Apr 2025 26 Apr 2025 L 1-2 5.40 0.77 0 −0.77 +0.14 −€1.00
M46 Sheffield Wednesday · Home3 May 2025 3 May 2025 D 1-1 2.60 1.36 1 −0.36 −0.22 −€1.00
Total 57.22 57 −0.22 −€0.30