ESEN
← Championship 2025-26

Millwall

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWWDW

Points

83

Points expected by the market

65.48

Gap

+17.52

Yield

+32.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 6 4.58 +1.42 +34.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 22 24.67 −2.67 −8.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 43 27.63 +15.37 +57.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 9 12 8.60 +3.40 +37.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Norwich · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.47 1.11 3 +1.89 +1.89 +€2.47
M2 Middlesbrough · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 L 0-3 2.19 1.58 0 −1.58 +0.31 −€1.00
M3 Sheffield United · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 W 1-0 4.16 0.94 3 +2.06 +2.37 +€3.16
M4 Wrexham · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 L 0-2 2.09 1.64 0 −1.64 +0.74 −€1.00
M5 Charlton · Away13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 D 1-1 3.07 1.23 1 −0.23 +0.51 −€1.00
M6 Watford · Home22 Sep 2025 22 Sep 2025 W 1-0 1.96 1.72 3 +1.28 +1.79 +€0.96
M7 Swansea · Away27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 D 1-1 3.43 1.12 1 −0.12 +1.67 −€1.00
M8 Coventry · Home1 Oct 2025 1 Oct 2025 L 0-4 3.51 1.08 0 −1.08 +0.59 −€1.00
M9 West Bromwich Albion · Home4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 3-0 2.78 1.32 3 +1.68 +2.27 +€1.78
M10 Queens Park Rangers · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 2-1 2.78 1.32 3 +1.68 +3.95 +€1.78
M11 Stoke · Home21 Oct 2025 21 Oct 2025 W 2-0 2.40 1.47 3 +1.53 +5.48 +€1.40
M12 Leicester · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 W 1-0 3.03 1.22 3 +1.78 +7.27 +€2.03
M13 Oxford · Away1 Nov 2025 1 Nov 2025 D 2-2 2.71 1.34 1 −0.34 +6.93 −€1.00
M14 Birmingham · Away4 Nov 2025 4 Nov 2025 L 0-4 4.76 0.86 0 −0.86 +6.07 −€1.00
M15 Preston · Home8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 D 1-1 2.20 1.58 1 −0.58 +5.48 −€1.00
M16 Portsmouth · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 1-3 3.11 1.20 0 −1.20 +4.28 −€1.00
M17 Sheffield Wednesday · Home26 Nov 2025 26 Nov 2025 W 1-0 1.63 1.98 3 +1.02 +5.30 +€0.63
M18 Southampton · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 3-2 3.02 1.21 3 +1.79 +7.09 +€2.02
M19 Bristol City · Away6 Dec 2025 6 Dec 2025 W 1-0 3.64 1.06 3 +1.94 +9.04 +€2.64
M20 Derby · Away10 Dec 2025 10 Dec 2025 D 1-1 2.72 1.36 1 −0.36 +8.68 −€1.00
M21 Hull · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 L 1-3 1.98 1.69 0 −1.69 +6.98 −€1.00
M22 Blackburn · Away20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 L 0-2 3.20 1.17 0 −1.17 +5.81 −€1.00
M23 Ipswich · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 D 0-0 3.81 1.02 1 −0.02 +5.79 −€1.00
M24 Bristol City · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 W 2-1 2.39 1.47 3 +1.53 +7.32 +€1.39
M25 Southampton · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 D 0-0 3.85 1.00 1 0.00 +7.32 −€1.00
M26 Swansea · Home4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 W 2-1 2.10 1.64 3 +1.36 +8.68 +€1.10
M27 Watford · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 2-0 3.44 1.10 3 +1.90 +10.58 +€2.44
M28 Coventry · Away20 Jan 2026 20 Jan 2026 L 1-2 4.19 0.93 0 −0.93 +9.64 −€1.00
M29 Charlton · Home24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 W 4-0 1.73 1.89 3 +1.11 +10.75 +€0.73
M30 Sheffield United · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.37 1.47 1 −0.47 +10.27 −€1.00
M31 Wrexham · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 2-0 2.64 1.36 3 +1.64 +11.92 +€1.64
M32 Sheffield Wednesday · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 W 2-1 1.33 2.31 3 +0.69 +12.60 +€0.33
M33 Portsmouth · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 L 1-3 1.85 1.79 0 −1.79 +10.81 −€1.00
M34 Birmingham · Home25 Feb 2026 25 Feb 2026 W 3-0 2.59 1.37 3 +1.63 +12.44 +€1.59
M35 Preston · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 2-0 2.27 1.53 3 +1.47 +13.91 +€1.27
M36 Hull · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 W 3-1 2.33 1.49 3 +1.51 +15.42 +€1.33
M37 Derby · Home10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 W 1-0 1.99 1.69 3 +1.31 +16.73 +€0.99
M38 Blackburn · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 1-2 1.90 1.77 0 −1.77 +14.97 −€1.00
M39 Ipswich · Away21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 D 1-1 4.64 0.85 1 +0.15 +15.12 −€1.00
M40 Middlesbrough · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 W 2-1 4.54 0.86 3 +2.14 +17.25 +€3.54
M41 Norwich · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 L 1-2 2.11 1.61 0 −1.61 +15.64 −€1.00
M42 West Bromwich Albion · Away10 Apr 2026 10 Apr 2026 D 0-0 3.12 1.19 1 −0.19 +15.45 −€1.00
M43 Queens Park Rangers · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 W 2-0 1.68 1.92 3 +1.08 +16.53 +€0.68
M44 Stoke · Away21 Apr 2026 21 Apr 2026 W 3-1 1.71 1.88 3 +1.12 +17.65 +€0.71
M45 Leicester · Away24 Apr 2026 24 Apr 2026 D 1-1 1.73 1.86 1 −0.86 +16.79 −€1.00
M46 Oxford · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 W 2-0 1.35 2.27 3 +0.73 +17.52 +€0.35
Total 65.48 83 +17.52 +€14.96