ESEN
← Championship 2025-26

Stoke

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLLLL

Points

55

Points expected by the market

59.85

Gap

−4.85

Yield

−19.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.21 +0.79 +40.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 21 17.06 +3.94 +21.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 19 21 25.62 −4.62 −15.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 16 10 14.95 −4.95 −52.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Derby · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 3-1 2.08 1.66 3 +1.34 +1.34 +€1.08
M2 Sheffield Wednesday · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 W 3-0 2.13 1.61 3 +1.39 +2.73 +€1.13
M3 Southampton · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.91 0.98 3 +2.02 +4.75 +€2.91
M4 West Bromwich Albion · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 L 0-1 2.59 1.38 0 −1.38 +3.36 −€1.00
M5 Birmingham · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.89 1.27 3 +1.73 +5.10 +€1.89
M6 Queens Park Rangers · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.46 1.43 0 −1.43 +3.66 −€1.00
M7 Norwich · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 D 1-1 1.93 1.73 1 −0.73 +2.94 −€1.00
M8 Middlesbrough · Away30 Sep 2025 30 Sep 2025 D 0-0 4.15 0.94 1 +0.06 +2.99 −€1.00
M9 Blackburn · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 D 1-1 2.88 1.27 1 −0.27 +2.72 −€1.00
M10 Wrexham · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.10 1.62 3 +1.38 +4.10 +€1.10
M11 Millwall · Away21 Oct 2025 21 Oct 2025 L 0-2 2.99 1.24 0 −1.24 +2.86 −€1.00
M12 Portsmouth · Away25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.55 1.40 3 +1.60 +4.46 +€1.55
M13 Bristol City · Home1 Nov 2025 1 Nov 2025 W 5-1 2.38 1.47 3 +1.53 +5.99 +€1.38
M14 Oxford · Away4 Nov 2025 4 Nov 2025 W 3-0 2.31 1.50 3 +1.50 +7.49 +€1.31
M15 Coventry · Home8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 L 0-1 2.94 1.23 0 −1.23 +6.26 −€1.00
M16 Leicester · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 1-2 3.62 1.06 0 −1.06 +5.20 −€1.00
M17 Charlton · Home25 Nov 2025 25 Nov 2025 W 3-0 1.89 1.77 3 +1.23 +6.43 +€0.89
M18 Hull · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 L 1-2 1.71 1.90 0 −1.90 +4.53 −€1.00
M19 Sheffield United · Away6 Dec 2025 6 Dec 2025 L 0-4 3.64 1.05 0 −1.05 +3.47 −€1.00
M20 Ipswich · Away10 Dec 2025 10 Dec 2025 L 0-1 5.88 0.72 0 −0.72 +2.75 −€1.00
M21 Swansea · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 W 2-1 2.07 1.65 3 +1.35 +4.10 +€1.07
M22 Watford · Away20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 L 0-1 3.67 1.05 0 −1.05 +3.05 −€1.00
M23 Preston · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 D 0-0 2.02 1.69 1 −0.69 +2.37 −€1.00
M24 Sheffield United · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 L 1-2 2.73 1.32 0 −1.32 +1.05 −€1.00
M25 Hull · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 W 1-0 3.17 1.18 3 +1.82 +2.87 +€2.17
M26 Norwich · Away4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 W 2-0 3.69 1.03 3 +1.97 +4.84 +€2.69
M27 Queens Park Rangers · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 D 0-0 2.08 1.64 1 −0.64 +4.20 −€1.00
M28 Middlesbrough · Home21 Jan 2026 21 Jan 2026 L 1-2 2.88 1.27 0 −1.27 +2.93 −€1.00
M29 Birmingham · Away24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 D 1-1 4.65 0.86 1 +0.14 +3.07 −€1.00
M30 Southampton · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 0-2 2.68 1.34 0 −1.34 +1.73 −€1.00
M31 West Bromwich Albion · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 D 0-0 3.60 1.08 1 −0.08 +1.66 −€1.00
M32 Charlton · Away11 Feb 2026 11 Feb 2026 L 0-1 2.73 1.35 0 −1.35 +0.31 −€1.00
M33 Leicester · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 D 2-2 2.31 1.51 1 −0.51 −0.20 −€1.00
M34 Oxford · Home25 Feb 2026 25 Feb 2026 W 2-1 1.86 1.79 3 +1.21 +1.01 +€0.86
M35 Coventry · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 1-2 5.84 0.70 0 −0.70 +0.31 −€1.00
M36 Swansea · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 L 0-2 4.04 0.97 0 −0.97 −0.66 −€1.00
M37 Ipswich · Home10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 D 3-3 5.17 0.78 1 +0.22 −0.44 −€1.00
M38 Watford · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 3-1 2.69 1.33 3 +1.67 +1.23 +€1.69
M39 Preston · Away20 Mar 2026 20 Mar 2026 L 1-3 2.94 1.24 0 −1.24 −0.01 −€1.00
M40 Sheffield Wednesday · Home3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 W 2-0 1.40 2.21 3 +0.79 +0.78 +€0.40
M41 Derby · Away6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 L 0-2 4.61 0.86 0 −0.86 −0.08 −€1.00
M42 Blackburn · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.62 1.36 1 −0.36 −0.45 −€1.00
M43 Wrexham · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 L 0-2 4.09 0.94 0 −0.94 −1.39 −€1.00
M44 Millwall · Home21 Apr 2026 21 Apr 2026 L 1-3 4.40 0.88 0 −0.88 −2.26 −€1.00
M45 Portsmouth · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 L 1-3 2.22 1.54 0 −1.54 −3.81 −€1.00
M46 Bristol City · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 0-2 3.57 1.04 0 −1.04 −4.85 −€1.00
Total 59.85 55 −4.85 −€8.88