Points
14Points expected by the market
17.27Gap
−3.27Yield
−39.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.69 | −69.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.09 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.69 | −69.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.66 | +161.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.57 | −37.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cardiff · Away17 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| M2 | Watford · Home22 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −1.15 |
| M3 | Birmingham · Home28 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.74 |
| M4 | Millwall · Away2 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −0.92 |
| M5 | Swansea · Away5 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.09 |
| M6 | Burnley · Home8 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.73 |
| M7 | West Ham · Away11 Sep 2026 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.40 |
| M8 | Southampton · Home19 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.74 |
| M9 | Derby · Away10 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.15 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Home13 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.74 |
| M11 | Preston · Home17 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | −1.79 |
| M12 | Blackburn · Away24 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.27 |
| Total | 14 | −3.27 | |||