← Super League 2019

Guangzhou R&F

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWLLL

Points

32

Points expected by the market

38.49

Gap

−6.49

Yield

−45.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.12 +0.88 +45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 24 19.07 +4.93 +13.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 6 4 7.95 −3.95 −58.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 1 9.35 −8.35 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Away2 Mar 2019 2 Mar 2019 D 2-2 2.46 1.40 1 −0.40 −0.40 −€1.00
M2 Dalian Yifang F.C. · Home9 Mar 2019 9 Mar 2019 D 3-3 2.18 1.54 1 −0.54 −0.95 −€1.00
M3 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Away29 Mar 2019 29 Mar 2019 L 3-4 2.30 1.46 0 −1.46 −2.41 −€1.00
M4 Guangzhou Evergrande · Away6 Apr 2019 6 Apr 2019 L 0-2 4.95 0.76 0 −0.76 −3.17 −€1.00
M5 Shanghai Shenhua · Home12 Apr 2019 12 Apr 2019 W 2-1 1.84 1.74 3 +1.26 −1.91 +€0.84
M6 Jiangsu Suning · Away21 Apr 2019 21 Apr 2019 L 1-5 4.56 0.83 0 −0.83 −2.74 −€1.00
M7 Shenzhen · Home26 Apr 2019 26 Apr 2019 W 3-1 1.74 1.84 3 +1.16 −1.58 +€0.74
M8 Shanghai SIPG · Away4 May 2019 4 May 2019 L 0-2 6.56 0.61 0 −0.61 −2.18 −€1.00
M9 Tianjin Tianhai · Away12 May 2019 12 May 2019 W 2-1 2.49 1.38 3 +1.62 −0.57 +€1.49
M10 Beijing Renhe · Home18 May 2019 18 May 2019 W 3-1 1.45 2.12 3 +0.88 +0.32 +€0.45
M11 Shandong Luneng · Away26 May 2019 26 May 2019 L 1-3 5.00 0.78 0 −0.78 −0.47 −€1.00
M12 Hebei · Home1 Jun 2019 1 Jun 2019 D 2-2 2.06 1.60 1 −0.60 −1.07 −€1.00
M13 Wuhan FC · Home15 Jun 2019 15 Jun 2019 L 3-4 1.89 1.72 0 −1.72 −2.79 −€1.00
M14 Beijing Guoan · Away22 Jun 2019 22 Jun 2019 L 2-3 7.58 0.54 0 −0.54 −3.33 −€1.00
M15 Henan Songshan Longmen · Home29 Jun 2019 29 Jun 2019 W 2-0 1.91 1.73 3 +1.27 −2.06 +€0.91
M16 Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Home6 Jul 2019 6 Jul 2019 W 4-2 1.89 1.73 3 +1.27 −0.78 +€0.89
M17 Dalian Yifang F.C. · Away12 Jul 2019 12 Jul 2019 L 2-3 3.58 1.02 0 −1.02 −1.80 −€1.00
M18 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Home16 Jul 2019 16 Jul 2019 W 2-1 1.65 1.91 3 +1.09 −0.71 +€0.65
M19 Guangzhou Evergrande · Home20 Jul 2019 20 Jul 2019 L 0-5 4.62 0.80 0 −0.80 −1.50 −€1.00
M20 Shanghai Shenhua · Away27 Jul 2019 27 Jul 2019 L 3-5 3.25 1.08 0 −1.08 −2.59 −€1.00
M21 Jiangsu Suning · Home2 Aug 2019 2 Aug 2019 D 2-2 2.10 1.56 1 −0.56 −3.15 −€1.00
M22 Shanghai SIPG · Home9 Aug 2019 9 Aug 2019 D 2-2 4.94 0.76 1 +0.24 −2.91 −€1.00
M23 Shenzhen · Away14 Aug 2019 14 Aug 2019 L 0-4 2.40 1.41 0 −1.41 −4.32 −€1.00
M24 Tianjin Tianhai · Home14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 W 2-1 1.73 1.83 3 +1.17 −3.15 +€0.73
M25 Shandong Luneng · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 L 1-3 2.84 1.21 0 −1.21 −4.37 −€1.00
M26 Hebei · Away26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 L 1-2 4.27 0.87 0 −0.87 −5.24 −€1.00
M27 Beijing Renhe · Away1 Nov 2019 1 Nov 2019 W 4-1 1.69 1.87 3 +1.13 −4.11 +€0.69
M28 Wuhan FC · Away22 Nov 2019 22 Nov 2019 L 1-2 5.10 0.75 0 −0.75 −4.86 −€1.00
M29 Beijing Guoan · Home27 Nov 2019 27 Nov 2019 L 1-4 4.86 0.76 0 −0.76 −5.62 −€1.00
M30 Henan Songshan Longmen · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 L 0-1 4.19 0.87 0 −0.87 −6.49 −€1.00
Total 38.49 32 −6.49 −€13.61