← Super League 2019

Hebei

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWDLW

Points

Points expected by the market

39.67

Gap

−6.67

Yield

−26.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.10	−1.10	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	21	19.68	+1.32	+5.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	8	11.38	−3.38	−30.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	3	6.52	−3.52	−52.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.10	−1.10	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	17	16.42	+0.58	+5.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	3	2.59	+0.41	+48.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	0	2.56	−2.56	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	4	3.26	+0.74	+8.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	5	8.79	−3.79	−52.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	3	3.96	−0.96	−29.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Shenzhen · Away2 Mar 2019	2 Mar 2019	L 1-3	2.46	1.41	0	−1.41	−1.41	−€1.00
M2	Shanghai Shenhua · Away10 Mar 2019	10 Mar 2019	W 2-1	3.33	1.10	3	+1.90	+0.48	+€2.33
M3	Shanghai SIPG · Home30 Mar 2019	30 Mar 2019	L 1-2	3.77	0.99	0	−0.99	−0.51	−€1.00
M4	Tianjin Tianhai · Away6 Apr 2019	6 Apr 2019	D 0-0	1.94	1.69	1	−0.69	−1.20	−€1.00
M5	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Away13 Apr 2019	13 Apr 2019	L 1-2	2.53	1.38	0	−1.38	−2.58	−€1.00
M6	Beijing Guoan · Home20 Apr 2019	20 Apr 2019	L 0-1	4.16	0.93	0	−0.93	−3.50	−€1.00
M7	Beijing Renhe · Home27 Apr 2019	27 Apr 2019	D 1-1	1.63	1.96	1	−0.96	−4.46	−€1.00
M8	Shandong Luneng · Away4 May 2019	4 May 2019	L 0-2	5.16	0.76	0	−0.76	−5.22	−€1.00
M9	Henan Songshan Longmen · Home11 May 2019	11 May 2019	L 2-3	1.71	1.88	0	−1.88	−7.10	−€1.00
M10	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Away19 May 2019	19 May 2019	L 0-2	2.29	1.49	0	−1.49	−8.59	−€1.00
M11	Jiangsu Suning · Home25 May 2019	25 May 2019	W 3-2	2.96	1.21	3	+1.79	−6.80	+€1.96
M12	Guangzhou R&F · Away1 Jun 2019	1 Jun 2019	D 2-2	3.15	1.14	1	−0.14	−6.94	−€1.00
M13	Dalian Yifang F.C. · Home15 Jun 2019	15 Jun 2019	W 1-0	2.13	1.59	3	+1.41	−5.53	+€1.13
M14	Guangzhou Evergrande · Away22 Jun 2019	22 Jun 2019	L 1-2	5.62	0.71	0	−0.71	−6.23	−€1.00
M15	Wuhan FC · Home29 Jun 2019	29 Jun 2019	L 0-2	1.72	1.86	0	−1.86	−8.10	−€1.00
M16	Shenzhen · Home7 Jul 2019	7 Jul 2019	D 1-1	1.47	2.10	1	−1.10	−9.20	−€1.00
M17	Shanghai Shenhua · Home12 Jul 2019	12 Jul 2019	W 2-1	1.79	1.81	3	+1.19	−8.01	+€0.79
M18	Shanghai SIPG · Away17 Jul 2019	17 Jul 2019	L 0-3	10.11	0.43	0	−0.43	−8.44	−€1.00
M19	Tianjin Tianhai · Home21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	D 2-2	1.53	2.04	1	−1.04	−9.48	−€1.00
M20	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	W 3-0	1.79	1.80	3	+1.20	−8.28	+€0.79
M21	Beijing Guoan · Away2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	L 0-2	8.60	0.50	0	−0.50	−8.78	−€1.00
M22	Shandong Luneng · Home10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	L 0-3	2.50	1.38	0	−1.38	−10.15	−€1.00
M23	Beijing Renhe · Away14 Aug 2019	14 Aug 2019	W 2-1	2.16	1.56	3	+1.44	−8.72	+€1.16
M24	Henan Songshan Longmen · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	L 1-4	3.05	1.19	0	−1.19	−9.91	−€1.00
M25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	W 2-1	2.12	1.58	3	+1.42	−8.48	+€1.12
M26	Jiangsu Suning · Away20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	L 1-4	6.07	0.67	0	−0.67	−9.15	−€1.00
M27	Guangzhou R&F · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	W 2-1	1.65	1.91	3	+1.09	−8.06	+€0.65
M28	Dalian Yifang F.C. · Away23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	D 3-3	3.39	1.08	1	−0.08	−8.14	−€1.00
M29	Guangzhou Evergrande · Home27 Nov 2019	27 Nov 2019	L 1-3	6.08	0.64	0	−0.64	−8.78	−€1.00
M30	Wuhan FC · Away1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	W 2-1	4.24	0.89	3	+2.11	−6.67	+€3.24
Total					39.67	33	−6.67		−€7.83