← Super League 2019

Shanghai Shenhua

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5WLLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

39.81

Gap

−9.81

Yield

−34.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	20	20.30	−0.30	−3.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	6	14.33	−8.33	−78.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	4	5.18	−1.18	−16.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	17	18.60	−1.60	−13.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	0	3.63	−3.63	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.73	−1.73	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.70	+1.30	+93.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	6	10.70	−4.70	−70.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	4	3.45	+0.55	+11.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Shanghai SIPG · Home1 Mar 2019	1 Mar 2019	L 0-4	2.97	1.21	0	−1.21	−1.21	−€1.00
M2	Hebei · Home10 Mar 2019	10 Mar 2019	L 1-2	2.05	1.63	0	−1.63	−2.84	−€1.00
M3	Henan Songshan Longmen · Away31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	W 2-1	2.39	1.45	3	+1.55	−1.29	+€1.39
M4	Beijing Renhe · Home7 Apr 2019	7 Apr 2019	W 5-1	1.56	2.01	3	+0.99	−0.29	+€0.56
M5	Guangzhou R&F · Away12 Apr 2019	12 Apr 2019	L 1-2	3.45	1.03	0	−1.03	−1.33	−€1.00
M6	Wuhan FC · Away21 Apr 2019	21 Apr 2019	D 1-1	2.38	1.44	1	−0.44	−1.77	−€1.00
M7	Tianjin Tianhai · Home27 Apr 2019	27 Apr 2019	L 2-3	1.52	2.05	0	−2.05	−3.83	−€1.00
M8	Shenzhen · Away5 May 2019	5 May 2019	L 1-2	2.45	1.41	0	−1.41	−5.24	−€1.00
M9	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Away10 May 2019	10 May 2019	D 1-1	2.49	1.39	1	−0.39	−5.63	−€1.00
M10	Shandong Luneng · Home17 May 2019	17 May 2019	L 1-3	3.26	1.12	0	−1.12	−6.74	−€1.00
M11	Dalian Yifang F.C. · Away26 May 2019	26 May 2019	L 0-1	3.48	1.07	0	−1.07	−7.81	−€1.00
M12	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Home1 Jun 2019	1 Jun 2019	D 0-0	1.81	1.78	1	−0.78	−8.59	−€1.00
M13	Beijing Guoan · Away14 Jun 2019	14 Jun 2019	L 1-2	10.19	0.44	0	−0.44	−9.04	−€1.00
M14	Jiangsu Suning · Away21 Jun 2019	21 Jun 2019	W 1-0	6.71	0.61	3	+2.39	−6.65	+€5.71
M15	Guangzhou Evergrande · Home1 Jul 2019	1 Jul 2019	L 0-3	4.18	0.91	0	−0.91	−7.56	−€1.00
M16	Shanghai SIPG · Away6 Jul 2019	6 Jul 2019	L 1-3	12.00	0.37	0	−0.37	−7.92	−€1.00
M17	Hebei · Away12 Jul 2019	12 Jul 2019	L 1-2	4.10	0.93	0	−0.93	−8.86	−€1.00
M18	Henan Songshan Longmen · Home16 Jul 2019	16 Jul 2019	W 3-2	1.66	1.92	3	+1.08	−7.78	+€0.66
M19	Beijing Renhe · Away21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	W 4-1	1.93	1.70	3	+1.30	−6.47	+€0.93
M20	Guangzhou R&F · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	W 5-3	1.90	1.69	3	+1.31	−5.16	+€0.90
M21	Wuhan FC · Home2 Aug 2019	2 Aug 2019	D 2-2	1.62	1.95	1	−0.95	−6.11	−€1.00
M22	Tianjin Tianhai · Away15 Aug 2019	15 Aug 2019	D 2-2	2.29	1.48	1	−0.48	−6.59	−€1.00
M23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Home15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	L 0-3	1.60	1.97	0	−1.97	−8.55	−€1.00
M24	Shandong Luneng · Away21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	D 2-2	5.02	0.77	1	+0.23	−8.32	−€1.00
M25	Shenzhen · Home26 Sep 2019	26 Sep 2019	W 2-1	1.69	1.89	3	+1.11	−7.21	+€0.69
M26	Dalian Yifang F.C. · Home20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	W 2-1	1.88	1.72	3	+1.28	−5.93	+€0.88
M27	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic · Away25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	L 0-1	2.43	1.43	0	−1.43	−7.36	−€1.00
M28	Beijing Guoan · Home22 Nov 2019	22 Nov 2019	L 1-2	4.72	0.82	0	−0.82	−8.18	−€1.00
M29	Jiangsu Suning · Home27 Nov 2019	27 Nov 2019	L 1-3	2.65	1.30	0	−1.30	−9.48	−€1.00
M30	Guangzhou Evergrande · Away1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	L 0-3	13.15	0.33	0	−0.33	−9.81	−€1.00
Total					39.81	30	−9.81		−€10.28