← Superliga 2019-20

Esbjerg

Season 2019-20 · 32 matches played

Last 5DLLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

40.93

Gap

−18.93

Yield

−54.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	9	12.58	−3.58	−44.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	7	19.26	−12.26	−81.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	6	9.09	−3.09	−20.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	6	9.28	−3.28	−64.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	4	9.09	−5.09	−60.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	6	3.95	+2.05	+99.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.30	−0.30	+5.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	3	10.18	−7.18	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	0	5.14	−5.14	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Midtjylland · Away12 Jul 2019	12 Jul 2019	L 0-1	5.53	0.74	0	−0.74	−0.74	−€1.00
M2	Hobro · Home21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	D 1-1	1.60	2.02	1	−1.02	−1.76	−€1.00
M3	Nordsjaelland · Away28 Jul 2019	28 Jul 2019	L 0-2	3.52	1.07	0	−1.07	−2.82	−€1.00
M4	Odense · Home4 Aug 2019	4 Aug 2019	L 0-1	2.65	1.35	0	−1.35	−4.17	−€1.00
M5	Aalborg · Away11 Aug 2019	11 Aug 2019	L 0-4	3.39	1.13	0	−1.13	−5.30	−€1.00
M6	Lyngby · Home18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	W 1-0	1.76	1.86	3	+1.14	−4.16	+€0.76
M7	Silkeborg · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	D 2-2	1.77	1.85	1	−0.85	−5.01	−€1.00
M8	Aarhus · Away1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	L 0-1	4.77	0.85	0	−0.85	−5.86	−€1.00
M9	Randers FC · Home15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	L 0-3	2.49	1.43	0	−1.43	−7.30	−€1.00
M10	Brondby · Home22 Sep 2019	22 Sep 2019	W 3-1	3.63	1.04	3	+1.96	−5.34	+€2.63
M11	Horsens · Away30 Sep 2019	30 Sep 2019	D 1-1	2.54	1.42	1	−0.42	−5.76	−€1.00
M12	Sonderjyske · Home6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	L 1-2	2.75	1.33	0	−1.33	−7.08	−€1.00
M13	FC Copenhagen · Away20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	L 1-3	6.27	0.68	0	−0.68	−7.77	−€1.00
M14	Midtjylland · Home25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	L 1-2	4.35	0.92	0	−0.92	−8.68	−€1.00
M15	Horsens · Home1 Nov 2019	1 Nov 2019	D 1-1	1.94	1.74	1	−0.74	−9.42	−€1.00
M16	Brondby · Away10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	L 1-2	4.54	0.88	0	−0.88	−10.30	−€1.00
M17	Silkeborg · Away24 Nov 2019	24 Nov 2019	W 2-1	2.10	1.60	3	+1.40	−8.90	+€1.10
M18	Aarhus · Home1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	L 1-2	3.28	1.14	0	−1.14	−10.04	−€1.00
M19	Sonderjyske · Away8 Dec 2019	8 Dec 2019	L 1-2	2.96	1.24	0	−1.24	−11.28	−€1.00
M20	Randers FC · Away15 Dec 2019	15 Dec 2019	L 0-3	4.22	0.93	0	−0.93	−12.21	−€1.00
M21	FC Copenhagen · Home14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	W 1-0	4.35	0.92	3	+2.08	−10.13	+€3.35
M22	Lyngby · Away23 Feb 2020	23 Feb 2020	L 0-2	2.83	1.29	0	−1.29	−11.42	−€1.00
M23	Nordsjaelland · Home29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	L 1-2	3.52	1.07	0	−1.07	−12.50	−€1.00
M24	Hobro · Away8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	D 1-1	2.84	1.31	1	−0.31	−12.80	−€1.00
M25	Aalborg · Home31 May 2020	31 May 2020	D 1-1	3.41	1.12	1	−0.12	−12.93	−€1.00
M26	Odense · Away7 Jun 2020	7 Jun 2020	L 1-3	3.20	1.17	0	−1.17	−14.10	−€1.00
M27	Randers FC · Home12 Jun 2020	12 Jun 2020	W 4-2	2.75	1.31	3	+1.69	−12.41	+€1.75
M28	Horsens · Away16 Jun 2020	16 Jun 2020	D 2-2	2.40	1.46	1	−0.46	−12.87	−€1.00
M29	Hobro · Home21 Jun 2020	21 Jun 2020	L 1-3	1.84	1.80	0	−1.80	−14.68	−€1.00
M30	Hobro · Away28 Jun 2020	28 Jun 2020	L 1-2	1.97	1.70	0	−1.70	−16.38	−€1.00
M31	Horsens · Home3 Jul 2020	3 Jul 2020	L 1-2	2.47	1.41	0	−1.41	−17.78	−€1.00
M32	Randers FC · Away8 Jul 2020	8 Jul 2020	L 1-3	3.14	1.15	0	−1.15	−18.93	−€1.00
Total					40.93	22	−18.93		−€17.41