ESEN
← Superliga 2019-20

Hobro

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLLD

Points

31

Points expected by the market

32.34

Gap

−1.34

Yield

−30.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 0 1.61 −1.61 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 10 11.94 −1.94 −66.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 24 21 18.80 +2.20 −13.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Aarhus · Home15 Jul 2019 15 Jul 2019 D 1-1 3.96 0.97 1 +0.03 +0.03 −€1.00
M2 Esbjerg · Away21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 D 1-1 5.77 0.74 1 +0.26 +0.29 −€1.00
M3 Randers FC · Home28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 D 2-2 3.75 1.04 1 −0.04 +0.26 −€1.00
M4 Silkeborg · Away2 Aug 2019 2 Aug 2019 W 3-2 3.00 1.21 3 +1.79 +2.05 +€2.00
M5 Brondby · Home11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 L 0-2 4.66 0.84 0 −0.84 +1.21 −€1.00
M6 Midtjylland · Away18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 D 1-1 8.17 0.54 1 +0.46 +1.67 −€1.00
M7 Odense · Home23 Aug 2019 23 Aug 2019 D 0-0 4.20 0.93 1 +0.07 +1.74 −€1.00
M8 Nordsjaelland · Away31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 1-2 7.69 0.55 0 −0.55 +1.19 −€1.00
M9 FC Copenhagen · Home15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 W 2-1 6.92 0.62 3 +2.38 +3.57 +€5.92
M10 Sonderjyske · Home22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 D 1-1 3.14 1.19 1 −0.19 +3.38 −€1.00
M11 Lyngby · Away27 Sep 2019 27 Sep 2019 L 1-2 4.04 0.97 0 −0.97 +2.41 −€1.00
M12 Aalborg · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 0-2 4.16 0.94 0 −0.94 +1.48 −€1.00
M13 Horsens · Away20 Oct 2019 20 Oct 2019 L 0-1 3.32 1.15 0 −1.15 +0.32 −€1.00
M14 Silkeborg · Home27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 D 1-1 2.27 1.52 1 −0.52 −0.19 −€1.00
M15 Odense · Away3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 1-2 6.24 0.68 0 −0.68 −0.87 −€1.00
M16 Nordsjaelland · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 D 2-2 3.67 1.02 1 −0.02 −0.90 −€1.00
M17 FC Copenhagen · Away24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 L 1-2 11.37 0.41 0 −0.41 −1.31 −€1.00
M18 Aalborg · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 D 1-1 6.75 0.63 1 +0.37 −0.94 −€1.00
M19 Horsens · Home6 Dec 2019 6 Dec 2019 D 0-0 2.58 1.40 1 −0.40 −1.34 −€1.00
M20 Brondby · Away15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 D 1-1 7.44 0.59 1 +0.41 −0.93 −€1.00
M21 Sonderjyske · Away16 Feb 2020 16 Feb 2020 L 1-3 4.05 0.98 0 −0.98 −1.91 −€1.00
M22 Midtjylland · Home21 Feb 2020 21 Feb 2020 L 0-2 7.68 0.57 0 −0.57 −2.48 −€1.00
M23 Aarhus · Away28 Feb 2020 28 Feb 2020 D 0-0 5.53 0.77 1 +0.23 −2.25 −€1.00
M24 Esbjerg · Home8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 D 1-1 2.64 1.38 1 −0.38 −2.63 −€1.00
M25 Randers FC · Away1 Jun 2020 1 Jun 2020 W 1-0 5.85 0.73 3 +2.27 −0.36 +€4.85
M26 Lyngby · Home7 Jun 2020 7 Jun 2020 D 2-2 2.44 1.45 1 −0.45 −0.81 −€1.00
M27 Horsens · Home13 Jun 2020 13 Jun 2020 D 1-1 2.50 1.43 1 −0.43 −1.24 −€1.00
M28 Randers FC · Away16 Jun 2020 16 Jun 2020 L 0-4 4.17 0.96 0 −0.96 −2.20 −€1.00
M29 Esbjerg · Away21 Jun 2020 21 Jun 2020 W 3-1 4.28 0.93 3 +2.07 −0.13 +€3.28
M30 Esbjerg · Home28 Jun 2020 28 Jun 2020 W 2-1 3.68 1.03 3 +1.97 +1.84 +€2.68
M31 Randers FC · Home5 Jul 2020 5 Jul 2020 L 2-3 3.92 0.97 0 −0.97 +0.87 −€1.00
M32 Horsens · Away8 Jul 2020 8 Jul 2020 L 2-3 11.72 0.40 0 −0.40 +0.47 −€1.00
M33 Lyngby · Home13 Jul 2020 13 Jul 2020 L 1-2 2.15 1.61 0 −1.61 −1.14 −€1.00
M34 Lyngby · Away20 Jul 2020 20 Jul 2020 D 2-2 3.01 1.20 1 −0.20 −1.34 −€1.00
Total 32.34 31 −1.34 −€10.27