← Superliga 2019-20

Randers FC

Season 2019-20 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

46.92

Gap

+1.08

Yield

−6.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	25	21.30	+3.70	+26.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	23	19.58	+3.42	+12.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	0	6.03	−6.03	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	21	16.09	+4.91	+47.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	12	7.78	+4.22	+36.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.72	−1.72	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	5.22	−1.22	−38.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	11	11.80	−0.80	−3.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	0	4.31	−4.31	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sonderjyske · Away14 Jul 2019	14 Jul 2019	L 1-2	3.31	1.14	0	−1.14	−1.14	−€1.00
M2	Brondby · Home21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	D 2-2	3.39	1.10	1	−0.10	−1.24	−€1.00
M3	Hobro · Away28 Jul 2019	28 Jul 2019	D 2-2	2.02	1.68	1	−0.68	−1.92	−€1.00
M4	Nordsjaelland · Home4 Aug 2019	4 Aug 2019	W 3-1	3.00	1.20	3	+1.80	−0.12	+€2.00
M5	Odense · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	L 0-1	4.39	0.88	0	−0.88	−1.01	−€1.00
M6	FC Copenhagen · Home16 Aug 2019	16 Aug 2019	L 0-1	4.19	0.94	0	−0.94	−1.94	−€1.00
M7	Lyngby · Away25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	L 0-2	2.20	1.55	0	−1.55	−3.49	−€1.00
M8	Silkeborg · Home1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	W 2-0	1.73	1.87	3	+1.13	−2.36	+€0.73
M9	Esbjerg · Away15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	W 3-0	2.90	1.27	3	+1.73	−0.64	+€1.90
M10	Horsens · Home23 Sep 2019	23 Sep 2019	W 2-1	1.78	1.85	3	+1.15	+0.51	+€0.78
M11	Aalborg · Away29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	W 3-0	3.39	1.10	3	+1.90	+2.41	+€2.39
M12	Aarhus · Home6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	W 2-0	2.88	1.27	3	+1.73	+4.14	+€1.88
M13	Midtjylland · Away21 Oct 2019	21 Oct 2019	L 1-2	5.61	0.74	0	−0.74	+3.40	−€1.00
M14	Brondby · Away27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	L 2-5	3.77	1.01	0	−1.01	+2.40	−€1.00
M15	Lyngby · Home3 Nov 2019	3 Nov 2019	W 2-1	1.79	1.83	3	+1.17	+3.56	+€0.79
M16	Aalborg · Home8 Nov 2019	8 Nov 2019	D 3-3	3.20	1.16	1	−0.16	+3.41	−€1.00
M17	Nordsjaelland · Away22 Nov 2019	22 Nov 2019	L 0-3	3.82	0.98	0	−0.98	+2.43	−€1.00
M18	Sonderjyske · Home1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	W 3-0	2.17	1.57	3	+1.43	+3.86	+€1.17
M19	Silkeborg · Away8 Dec 2019	8 Dec 2019	L 1-2	1.87	1.75	0	−1.75	+2.11	−€1.00
M20	Esbjerg · Home15 Dec 2019	15 Dec 2019	W 3-0	1.81	1.82	3	+1.18	+3.29	+€0.81
M21	Odense · Home23 Feb 2020	23 Feb 2020	D 0-0	2.25	1.54	1	−0.54	+2.75	−€1.00
M22	Horsens · Away1 Mar 2020	1 Mar 2020	W 2-1	2.36	1.49	3	+1.51	+4.26	+€1.36
M23	Midtjylland · Home8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	L 0-2	5.14	0.79	0	−0.79	+3.47	−€1.00
M24	Aarhus · Away28 May 2020	28 May 2020	D 1-1	3.14	1.19	1	−0.19	+3.29	−€1.00
M25	Hobro · Home1 Jun 2020	1 Jun 2020	L 0-1	1.59	2.02	0	−2.02	+1.26	−€1.00
M26	FC Copenhagen · Away7 Jun 2020	7 Jun 2020	L 1-2	5.86	0.71	0	−0.71	+0.56	−€1.00
M27	Esbjerg · Away12 Jun 2020	12 Jun 2020	L 2-4	2.52	1.41	0	−1.41	−0.85	−€1.00
M28	Hobro · Home16 Jun 2020	16 Jun 2020	W 4-0	1.90	1.76	3	+1.24	+0.39	+€0.90
M29	Horsens · Away20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 0-0	2.41	1.46	1	−0.46	−0.07	−€1.00
M30	Horsens · Home28 Jun 2020	28 Jun 2020	L 0-3	1.90	1.75	0	−1.75	−1.83	−€1.00
M31	Hobro · Away5 Jul 2020	5 Jul 2020	W 3-2	1.84	1.78	3	+1.22	−0.61	+€0.84
M32	Esbjerg · Home8 Jul 2020	8 Jul 2020	W 3-1	2.10	1.60	3	+1.40	+0.79	+€1.10
M33	Odense · Home11 Jul 2020	11 Jul 2020	W 2-1	2.31	1.51	3	+1.49	+2.28	+€1.31
M34	Odense · Away19 Jul 2020	19 Jul 2020	L 0-2	3.00	1.20	0	−1.20	+1.08	−€1.00
Total					46.92	48	+1.08		−€2.04