← Superliga 2020-21

Aarhus

Season 2020-21 · 33 matches played

Last 5WWLLD

Points

49

Points expected by the market

49.91

Gap

−0.91

Yield

−20.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 17 36 30.47 +5.53 +18.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 9 14.88 −5.88 −79.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 5 4 4.57 −0.57 −26.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Vejle · Home14 Sep 2020 14 Sep 2020 W 4-2 1.69 1.92 3 +1.08 +1.08 +€0.69
M2 Randers FC · Away20 Sep 2020 20 Sep 2020 D 1-1 2.39 1.46 1 −0.46 +0.62 −€1.00
M3 Odense · Home27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 W 4-2 2.10 1.61 3 +1.39 +2.01 +€1.10
M4 Aalborg · Away4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.88 1.25 1 −0.25 +1.76 −€1.00
M5 Horsens · Home18 Oct 2020 18 Oct 2020 W 3-0 1.56 2.03 3 +0.97 +2.72 +€0.56
M6 FC Copenhagen · Home25 Oct 2020 25 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.43 1.44 0 −1.44 +1.29 −€1.00
M7 Sonderjyske · Away2 Nov 2020 2 Nov 2020 D 1-1 2.06 1.64 1 −0.64 +0.65 −€1.00
M8 Lyngby · Away8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 W 2-1 1.89 1.76 3 +1.24 +1.89 +€0.89
M9 Midtjylland · Home22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 L 1-2 3.25 1.13 0 −1.13 +0.76 −€1.00
M10 Nordsjaelland · Away29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 L 1-3 2.08 1.61 0 −1.61 −0.86 −€1.00
M11 Brondby · Home7 Dec 2020 7 Dec 2020 W 3-1 2.19 1.55 3 +1.45 +0.59 +€1.19
M12 Horsens · Away13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 W 2-1 1.63 1.97 3 +1.03 +1.63 +€0.63
M13 Aalborg · Home20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 W 3-0 1.97 1.70 3 +1.30 +2.93 +€0.97
M14 Vejle · Away2 Feb 2021 2 Feb 2021 D 0-0 1.93 1.73 1 −0.73 +2.20 −€1.00
M15 Lyngby · Home7 Feb 2021 7 Feb 2021 W 1-0 1.50 2.11 3 +0.89 +3.09 +€0.50
M16 Odense · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 D 0-0 2.25 1.54 1 −0.54 +2.55 −€1.00
M17 Sonderjyske · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 W 2-0 1.91 1.75 3 +1.25 +3.80 +€0.91
M18 FC Copenhagen · Away28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 D 3-3 3.59 1.06 1 −0.06 +3.73 −€1.00
M19 Nordsjaelland · Home3 Mar 2021 3 Mar 2021 L 0-1 1.57 2.02 0 −2.02 +1.71 −€1.00
M20 Midtjylland · Away7 Mar 2021 7 Mar 2021 W 1-0 3.66 1.06 3 +1.94 +3.66 +€2.66
M21 Randers FC · Home15 Mar 2021 15 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.19 1.58 1 −0.58 +3.08 −€1.00
M22 Brondby · Away21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.97 1.24 1 −0.24 +2.84 −€1.00
M23 Nordsjaelland · Away4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 L 0-2 1.77 1.84 0 −1.84 +1.00 −€1.00
M24 Midtjylland · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 L 1-4 4.06 0.97 0 −0.97 +0.03 −€1.00
M25 Brondby · Away18 Apr 2021 18 Apr 2021 D 2-2 3.31 1.14 1 −0.14 −0.11 −€1.00
M26 Randers FC · Home22 Apr 2021 22 Apr 2021 W 2-0 2.30 1.52 3 +1.48 +1.37 +€1.30
M27 FC Copenhagen · Home25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.82 1.29 0 −1.29 +0.08 −€1.00
M28 FC Copenhagen · Away3 May 2021 3 May 2021 L 2-3 3.60 1.06 0 −1.06 −0.98 −€1.00
M29 Randers FC · Away9 May 2021 9 May 2021 W 1-0 2.16 1.60 3 +1.40 +0.43 +€1.16
M30 Nordsjaelland · Home16 May 2021 16 May 2021 W 3-1 1.56 2.05 3 +0.95 +1.38 +€0.56
M31 Brondby · Home20 May 2021 20 May 2021 L 1-2 2.73 1.30 0 −1.30 +0.08 −€1.00
M32 Midtjylland · Away24 May 2021 24 May 2021 L 0-4 10.63 0.42 0 −0.42 −0.34 −€1.00
M33 Aalborg · Home28 May 2021 28 May 2021 D 1-1 2.23 1.57 1 −0.57 −0.91 −€1.00
Total 49.91 49 −0.91 −€6.88