← Superliga 2020-21

FC Copenhagen

Season 2020-21 · 32 matches played

Last 5WDWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

55.27

Gap

−0.27

Yield

−2.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	5	6.73	−1.73	−58.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	20	34	36.33	−2.33	−11.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	16	11.27	+4.73	+52.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.95	−0.95	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	4	4.56	−0.56	−37.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	23	21.74	+1.26	+2.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	4	2.88	+1.12	+17.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.17	−1.17	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	11	14.59	−3.59	−33.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	12	8.39	+3.61	+64.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.95	−0.95	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Odense · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	L 2-3	2.08	1.63	0	−1.63	−1.63	−€1.00
M2	Brondby · Home20 Sep 2020	20 Sep 2020	L 1-2	2.10	1.61	0	−1.61	−3.25	−€1.00
M3	Vejle · Away27 Sep 2020	27 Sep 2020	D 2-2	1.83	1.79	1	−0.79	−4.04	−€1.00
M4	Nordsjaelland · Home4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	W 3-2	1.91	1.72	3	+1.28	−2.76	+€0.91
M5	Aalborg · Home18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	L 1-2	1.81	1.81	0	−1.81	−4.57	−€1.00
M6	Aarhus · Away25 Oct 2020	25 Oct 2020	W 1-0	2.80	1.29	3	+1.71	−2.85	+€1.80
M7	Lyngby · Home1 Nov 2020	1 Nov 2020	W 4-2	1.26	2.40	3	+0.60	−2.25	+€0.26
M8	Midtjylland · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	L 0-4	4.04	0.95	0	−0.95	−3.20	−€1.00
M9	Randers FC · Home23 Nov 2020	23 Nov 2020	L 1-2	2.01	1.67	0	−1.67	−4.87	−€1.00
M10	Sonderjyske · Away29 Nov 2020	29 Nov 2020	W 3-1	2.34	1.49	3	+1.51	−3.35	+€1.34
M11	Horsens · Home6 Dec 2020	6 Dec 2020	W 2-0	1.54	2.06	3	+0.94	−2.41	+€0.54
M12	Nordsjaelland · Away13 Dec 2020	13 Dec 2020	W 1-0	1.93	1.72	3	+1.28	−1.13	+€0.93
M13	Odense · Home20 Dec 2020	20 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.66	1.94	1	−0.94	−2.07	−€1.00
M14	Aalborg · Away3 Feb 2021	3 Feb 2021	W 3-2	1.84	1.79	3	+1.21	−0.86	+€0.84
M15	Horsens · Away7 Feb 2021	7 Feb 2021	W 2-0	1.57	2.04	3	+0.96	+0.10	+€0.57
M16	Sonderjyske · Home15 Feb 2021	15 Feb 2021	W 3-2	1.55	2.05	3	+0.95	+1.05	+€0.55
M17	Lyngby · Away22 Feb 2021	22 Feb 2021	D 2-2	1.44	2.17	1	−1.17	−0.12	−€1.00
M18	Aarhus · Home28 Feb 2021	28 Feb 2021	D 3-3	2.04	1.66	1	−0.66	−0.78	−€1.00
M19	Vejle · Home3 Mar 2021	3 Mar 2021	W 2-1	1.60	2.00	3	+1.00	+0.22	+€0.60
M20	Brondby · Away7 Mar 2021	7 Mar 2021	L 1-2	2.35	1.49	0	−1.49	−1.26	−€1.00
M21	Midtjylland · Home14 Mar 2021	14 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.52	1.41	1	−0.41	−1.67	−€1.00
M22	Randers FC · Away21 Mar 2021	21 Mar 2021	L 1-2	1.96	1.70	0	−1.70	−3.38	−€1.00
M23	Randers FC · Home5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 2-1	1.79	1.83	3	+1.17	−2.21	+€0.79
M24	Brondby · Away11 Apr 2021	11 Apr 2021	W 3-1	2.23	1.54	3	+1.46	−0.75	+€1.23
M25	Nordsjaelland · Home18 Apr 2021	18 Apr 2021	D 2-2	1.44	2.16	1	−1.16	−1.92	−€1.00
M26	Midtjylland · Away22 Apr 2021	22 Apr 2021	L 1-4	3.17	1.16	0	−1.16	−3.08	−€1.00
M27	Aarhus · Away25 Apr 2021	25 Apr 2021	W 2-1	2.48	1.43	3	+1.57	−1.50	+€1.48
M28	Aarhus · Home3 May 2021	3 May 2021	W 3-2	2.02	1.67	3	+1.33	−0.18	+€1.02
M29	Nordsjaelland · Away10 May 2021	10 May 2021	D 2-2	1.66	1.93	1	−0.93	−1.11	−€1.00
M30	Brondby · Home16 May 2021	16 May 2021	W 2-1	1.94	1.71	3	+1.29	+0.18	+€0.94
M31	Midtjylland · Home19 May 2021	19 May 2021	W 4-2	2.35	1.47	3	+1.53	+1.71	+€1.35
M32	Randers FC · Away24 May 2021	24 May 2021	L 1-2	1.60	1.98	0	−1.98	−0.27	−€1.00
Total					55.27	55	−0.27		−€0.85