← Superliga 2020-21

Midtjylland

Season 2020-21 · 32 matches played

Last 5WLDLW

Points

Points expected by the market

61.13

Gap

−1.13

Yield

−5.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	8	16	18.79	−2.79	−20.1%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	21	43	38.25	+4.75	+13.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	1	4.09	−3.09	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	7	16	16.62	−0.62	−8.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	22	16.37	+5.63	+39.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	0	—	—	—	—
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	0	2.17	−2.17	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	21	21.88	−0.88	−5.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	1	4.09	−3.09	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sonderjyske · Away11 Sep 2020	11 Sep 2020	L 0-2	1.91	1.74	0	−1.74	−1.74	−€1.00
M2	Lyngby · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	W 1-0	1.31	2.33	3	+0.67	−1.08	+€0.31
M3	Randers FC · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	W 1-0	1.71	1.90	3	+1.10	+0.03	+€0.71
M4	Horsens · Away4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	D 2-2	1.53	2.07	1	−1.07	−1.05	−€1.00
M5	Odense · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 3-1	1.62	1.98	3	+1.02	−0.02	+€0.62
M6	Brondby · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 3-2	2.19	1.56	3	+1.44	+1.42	+€1.19
M7	Nordsjaelland · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 1-4	2.19	1.54	0	−1.54	−0.13	−€1.00
M8	FC Copenhagen · Home8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	W 4-0	1.82	1.80	3	+1.20	+1.07	+€0.82
M9	Aarhus · Away22 Nov 2020	22 Nov 2020	W 2-1	2.10	1.61	3	+1.39	+2.46	+€1.10
M10	Aalborg · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	D 0-0	1.82	1.80	1	−0.80	+1.67	−€1.00
M11	Vejle · Away5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 2-0	1.68	1.92	3	+1.08	+2.75	+€0.68
M12	Odense · Away14 Dec 2020	14 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.78	1.84	1	−0.84	+1.90	−€1.00
M13	Nordsjaelland · Home21 Dec 2020	21 Dec 2020	W 3-1	1.27	2.38	3	+0.62	+2.52	+€0.27
M14	Sonderjyske · Home4 Feb 2021	4 Feb 2021	L 1-2	1.36	2.27	0	−2.27	+0.25	−€1.00
M15	Randers FC · Away8 Feb 2021	8 Feb 2021	W 2-1	1.83	1.80	3	+1.20	+1.44	+€0.83
M16	Horsens · Home14 Feb 2021	14 Feb 2021	W 1-0	1.31	2.34	3	+0.66	+2.10	+€0.31
M17	Aalborg · Away19 Feb 2021	19 Feb 2021	W 2-0	1.64	1.97	3	+1.03	+3.13	+€0.64
M18	Brondby · Home28 Feb 2021	28 Feb 2021	W 1-0	1.75	1.87	3	+1.13	+4.26	+€0.75
M19	Lyngby · Away4 Mar 2021	4 Mar 2021	L 0-2	1.44	2.17	0	−2.17	+2.09	−€1.00
M20	Aarhus · Home7 Mar 2021	7 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.05	1.66	0	−1.66	+0.43	−€1.00
M21	FC Copenhagen · Away14 Mar 2021	14 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.79	1.30	1	−0.30	+0.13	−€1.00
M22	Vejle · Home21 Mar 2021	21 Mar 2021	W 5-0	1.61	2.01	3	+0.99	+1.12	+€0.61
M23	Brondby · Home5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.88	1.78	3	+1.22	+2.34	+€0.88
M24	Aarhus · Away11 Apr 2021	11 Apr 2021	W 4-1	1.91	1.76	3	+1.24	+3.58	+€0.91
M25	Randers FC · Away19 Apr 2021	19 Apr 2021	D 0-0	1.63	1.97	1	−0.97	+2.61	−€1.00
M26	FC Copenhagen · Home22 Apr 2021	22 Apr 2021	W 4-1	2.18	1.57	3	+1.43	+4.04	+€1.18
M27	Nordsjaelland · Away26 Apr 2021	26 Apr 2021	L 2-3	1.52	2.08	0	−2.08	+1.96	−€1.00
M28	Nordsjaelland · Home2 May 2021	2 May 2021	W 3-0	1.25	2.42	3	+0.58	+2.54	+€0.25
M29	Brondby · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 1-3	2.25	1.53	0	−1.53	+1.01	−€1.00
M30	Randers FC · Home16 May 2021	16 May 2021	D 1-1	1.24	2.44	1	−1.44	−0.43	−€1.00
M31	FC Copenhagen · Away19 May 2021	19 May 2021	L 2-4	2.82	1.27	0	−1.27	−1.70	−€1.00
M32	Aarhus · Home24 May 2021	24 May 2021	W 4-0	1.25	2.42	3	+0.58	−1.13	+€0.25
Total					61.13	60	−1.13		−€1.69