← Superliga 2021-22

Aarhus

Season 2021-22 · 32 matches played

Last 5LDLLD

Points

Points expected by the market

42.48

Gap

−12.48

Yield

−55.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	7	9.05	−2.05	−34.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	22	21	28.72	−7.72	−50.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	4.70	−2.70	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	7	7.24	−0.24	−18.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	12	15.88	−3.88	−50.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.82	−1.82	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	9	12.84	−3.84	−49.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	4.70	−2.70	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Brondby · Home18 Jul 2021	18 Jul 2021	D 1-1	2.42	1.46	1	−0.46	−0.46	−€1.00
M2	Nordsjaelland · Away25 Jul 2021	25 Jul 2021	D 0-0	2.51	1.40	1	−0.40	−0.86	−€1.00
M3	Randers FC · Home1 Aug 2021	1 Aug 2021	L 1-2	2.87	1.27	0	−1.27	−2.13	−€1.00
M4	Aalborg · Away8 Aug 2021	8 Aug 2021	L 0-2	3.17	1.18	0	−1.18	−3.31	−€1.00
M5	FC Copenhagen · Home15 Aug 2021	15 Aug 2021	L 1-3	3.18	1.17	0	−1.17	−4.47	−€1.00
M6	Viborg · Away22 Aug 2021	22 Aug 2021	L 0-2	2.83	1.28	0	−1.28	−5.75	−€1.00
M7	Odense · Home29 Aug 2021	29 Aug 2021	D 2-2	2.31	1.50	1	−0.50	−6.26	−€1.00
M8	Vejle · Home12 Sep 2021	12 Sep 2021	W 1-0	1.57	2.04	3	+0.96	−5.30	+€0.57
M9	Silkeborg · Away20 Sep 2021	20 Sep 2021	W 2-0	2.78	1.28	3	+1.72	−3.58	+€1.78
M10	Sonderjyske · Home27 Sep 2021	27 Sep 2021	W 1-0	1.71	1.91	3	+1.09	−2.50	+€0.71
M11	Midtjylland · Away3 Oct 2021	3 Oct 2021	L 0-4	4.58	0.88	0	−0.88	−3.38	−€1.00
M12	Aalborg · Home18 Oct 2021	18 Oct 2021	W 1-0	2.55	1.39	3	+1.61	−1.77	+€1.55
M13	Randers FC · Away24 Oct 2021	24 Oct 2021	L 0-1	2.98	1.24	0	−1.24	−3.01	−€1.00
M14	Odense · Away1 Nov 2021	1 Nov 2021	D 0-0	3.00	1.22	1	−0.22	−3.23	−€1.00
M15	Midtjylland · Home7 Nov 2021	7 Nov 2021	W 3-0	3.41	1.11	3	+1.89	−1.34	+€2.41
M16	FC Copenhagen · Away21 Nov 2021	21 Nov 2021	D 1-1	4.21	0.94	1	+0.06	−1.29	−€1.00
M17	Silkeborg · Home26 Nov 2021	26 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.65	1.36	1	−0.36	−1.64	−€1.00
M18	Sonderjyske · Away18 Feb 2022	18 Feb 2022	W 3-2	2.26	1.56	3	+1.44	−0.20	+€1.26
M19	Vejle · Away25 Feb 2022	25 Feb 2022	L 2-3	1.82	1.82	0	−1.82	−2.02	−€1.00
M20	Nordsjaelland · Home7 Mar 2022	7 Mar 2022	L 2-3	2.09	1.63	0	−1.63	−3.64	−€1.00
M21	Brondby · Away13 Mar 2022	13 Mar 2022	D 1-1	3.77	1.04	1	−0.04	−3.69	−€1.00
M22	Viborg · Home20 Mar 2022	20 Mar 2022	D 1-1	2.63	1.37	1	−0.37	−4.06	−€1.00
M23	Vejle · Home3 Apr 2022	3 Apr 2022	D 0-0	2.27	1.55	1	−0.55	−4.61	−€1.00
M24	Nordsjaelland · Away10 Apr 2022	10 Apr 2022	D 2-2	3.43	1.10	1	−0.10	−4.72	−€1.00
M25	Viborg · Home14 Apr 2022	14 Apr 2022	L 0-2	3.36	1.14	0	−1.14	−5.85	−€1.00
M26	Sonderjyske · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	L 1-2	2.75	1.32	0	−1.32	−7.17	−€1.00
M27	Odense · Home24 Apr 2022	24 Apr 2022	L 1-2	2.88	1.26	0	−1.26	−8.43	−€1.00
M28	Odense · Away1 May 2022	1 May 2022	L 0-1	3.62	1.06	0	−1.06	−9.49	−€1.00
M29	Sonderjyske · Home8 May 2022	8 May 2022	D 1-1	2.06	1.65	1	−0.65	−10.14	−€1.00
M30	Vejle · Away12 May 2022	12 May 2022	L 0-1	2.89	1.27	0	−1.27	−11.41	−€1.00
M31	Viborg · Away15 May 2022	15 May 2022	L 0-1	5.37	0.77	0	−0.77	−12.18	−€1.00
M32	Nordsjaelland · Home21 May 2022	21 May 2022	D 2-2	2.72	1.30	1	−0.30	−12.48	−€1.00
Total					42.48	30	−12.48		−€17.72