← Superliga 2022-23

Aalborg

Season 2022-23 · 32 matches played

Last 5WDLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

40.48

Gap

−13.48

Yield

−45.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	7	10.74	−3.74	−43.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	17	14	22.23	−8.23	−52.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	6	7.51	−1.51	−35.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	7	9.15	−2.15	−32.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	6	12.46	−6.46	−72.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	2.00	−1.00	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.59	−1.59	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	8	9.78	−1.78	−28.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	5	5.50	−0.50	−16.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Viborg · Away17 Jul 2022	17 Jul 2022	L 1-2	3.10	1.18	0	−1.18	−1.18	−€1.00
M2	FC Copenhagen · Home24 Jul 2022	24 Jul 2022	L 1-3	4.27	0.91	0	−0.91	−2.10	−€1.00
M3	Horsens · Home31 Jul 2022	31 Jul 2022	D 0-0	2.24	1.53	1	−0.53	−2.63	−€1.00
M4	Silkeborg · Away8 Aug 2022	8 Aug 2022	L 1-3	4.42	0.88	0	−0.88	−3.51	−€1.00
M5	Nordsjaelland · Home14 Aug 2022	14 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.41	1.44	1	−0.44	−3.95	−€1.00
M6	Brondby · Home21 Aug 2022	21 Aug 2022	W 2-1	2.44	1.44	3	+1.56	−2.39	+€1.44
M7	Randers FC · Away28 Aug 2022	28 Aug 2022	L 0-1	3.13	1.16	0	−1.16	−3.55	−€1.00
M8	Midtjylland · Away4 Sep 2022	4 Sep 2022	W 2-0	5.84	0.69	3	+2.31	−1.24	+€4.84
M9	Lyngby · Home11 Sep 2022	11 Sep 2022	D 1-1	1.90	1.74	1	−0.74	−1.98	−€1.00
M10	Aarhus · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-3	3.46	1.10	0	−1.10	−3.07	−€1.00
M11	Odense · Home30 Sep 2022	30 Sep 2022	D 1-1	2.25	1.53	1	−0.53	−3.61	−€1.00
M12	Horsens · Away10 Oct 2022	10 Oct 2022	D 0-0	3.60	1.06	1	−0.06	−3.66	−€1.00
M13	Lyngby · Away14 Oct 2022	14 Oct 2022	W 2-0	2.95	1.23	3	+1.77	−1.90	+€1.95
M14	Viborg · Home24 Oct 2022	24 Oct 2022	L 1-3	3.04	1.21	0	−1.21	−3.10	−€1.00
M15	Brondby · Away30 Oct 2022	30 Oct 2022	L 2-3	5.76	0.73	0	−0.73	−3.83	−€1.00
M16	Silkeborg · Home6 Nov 2022	6 Nov 2022	L 1-2	2.73	1.30	0	−1.30	−5.13	−€1.00
M17	Nordsjaelland · Away13 Nov 2022	13 Nov 2022	L 1-5	5.29	0.77	0	−0.77	−5.90	−€1.00
M18	Aarhus · Home17 Feb 2023	17 Feb 2023	L 0-1	2.84	1.30	0	−1.30	−7.20	−€1.00
M19	FC Copenhagen · Away26 Feb 2023	26 Feb 2023	L 0-1	8.34	0.55	0	−0.55	−7.75	−€1.00
M20	Midtjylland · Home6 Mar 2023	6 Mar 2023	D 0-0	3.53	1.09	1	−0.09	−7.84	−€1.00
M21	Odense · Away10 Mar 2023	10 Mar 2023	L 1-2	2.98	1.22	0	−1.22	−9.06	−€1.00
M22	Randers FC · Home19 Mar 2023	19 Mar 2023	L 0-1	2.49	1.42	0	−1.42	−10.49	−€1.00
M23	Horsens · Away2 Apr 2023	2 Apr 2023	W 4-0	2.75	1.33	3	+1.67	−8.81	+€1.75
M24	Odense · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 2-3	1.81	1.81	0	−1.81	−10.63	−€1.00
M25	Midtjylland · Away14 Apr 2023	14 Apr 2023	D 1-1	4.84	0.83	1	+0.17	−10.45	−€1.00
M26	Silkeborg · Away21 Apr 2023	21 Apr 2023	D 2-2	3.19	1.14	1	−0.14	−10.59	−€1.00
M27	Lyngby · Home30 Apr 2023	30 Apr 2023	W 1-0	1.74	1.87	3	+1.13	−9.46	+€0.74
M28	Horsens · Home7 May 2023	7 May 2023	W 4-0	1.63	1.97	3	+1.03	−8.44	+€0.63
M29	Odense · Away12 May 2023	12 May 2023	D 1-1	2.45	1.42	1	−0.42	−8.86	−€1.00
M30	Midtjylland · Home21 May 2023	21 May 2023	L 0-2	2.82	1.28	0	−1.28	−10.14	−€1.00
M31	Lyngby · Away29 May 2023	29 May 2023	L 1-2	2.13	1.59	0	−1.59	−11.73	−€1.00
M32	Silkeborg · Home3 Jun 2023	3 Jun 2023	L 0-1	1.88	1.75	0	−1.75	−13.48	−€1.00
Total					40.48	27	−13.48		−€14.65