← Superliga 2022-23

Midtjylland

Season 2022-23 · 33 matches played

Last 5WWDWW

Points

Points expected by the market

56.53

Gap

−2.53

Yield

−12.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	4	4.51	−0.51	−33.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	20	30	36.75	−6.75	−27.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	20	15.27	+4.73	+17.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	4	4.51	−0.51	−33.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	17	22.84	−5.84	−27.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	1	2.92	−1.92	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	13	13.91	−0.91	−27.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	19	12.35	+6.65	+44.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Randers FC · Home15 Jul 2022	15 Jul 2022	D 1-1	1.41	2.20	1	−1.20	−1.20	−€1.00
M2	Silkeborg · Home22 Jul 2022	22 Jul 2022	L 1-3	1.98	1.69	0	−1.69	−2.89	−€1.00
M3	Odense · Away29 Jul 2022	29 Jul 2022	W 5-1	1.99	1.68	3	+1.32	−1.57	+€0.99
M4	Lyngby · Away5 Aug 2022	5 Aug 2022	D 3-3	1.89	1.75	1	−0.75	−2.32	−€1.00
M5	Horsens · Away12 Aug 2022	12 Aug 2022	D 3-3	1.74	1.87	1	−0.87	−3.20	−€1.00
M6	Aarhus · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-2	1.73	1.88	0	−1.88	−5.08	−€1.00
M7	Brondby · Away29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	W 2-0	2.15	1.58	3	+1.42	−3.65	+€1.15
M8	Aalborg · Home4 Sep 2022	4 Sep 2022	L 0-2	1.50	2.10	0	−2.10	−5.75	−€1.00
M9	Nordsjaelland · Away11 Sep 2022	11 Sep 2022	D 1-1	2.44	1.42	1	−0.42	−6.17	−€1.00
M10	FC Copenhagen · Home18 Sep 2022	18 Sep 2022	W 2-1	2.08	1.64	3	+1.36	−4.81	+€1.08
M11	Viborg · Home2 Oct 2022	2 Oct 2022	D 1-1	1.87	1.77	1	−0.77	−5.58	−€1.00
M12	Aarhus · Away9 Oct 2022	9 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.59	1.38	3	+1.62	−3.95	+€1.59
M13	Horsens · Home16 Oct 2022	16 Oct 2022	W 2-1	1.71	1.91	3	+1.09	−2.86	+€0.71
M14	FC Copenhagen · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.78	1.30	1	−0.30	−3.16	−€1.00
M15	Odense · Home31 Oct 2022	31 Oct 2022	L 1-2	1.56	2.04	0	−2.04	−5.20	−€1.00
M16	Nordsjaelland · Home7 Nov 2022	7 Nov 2022	D 0-0	2.48	1.42	1	−0.42	−5.62	−€1.00
M17	Randers FC · Away13 Nov 2022	13 Nov 2022	D 0-0	2.30	1.50	1	−0.50	−6.12	−€1.00
M18	Viborg · Away20 Feb 2023	20 Feb 2023	W 4-0	3.09	1.22	3	+1.78	−4.33	+€2.09
M19	Brondby · Home27 Feb 2023	27 Feb 2023	L 0-1	2.32	1.50	0	−1.50	−5.83	−€1.00
M20	Aalborg · Away6 Mar 2023	6 Mar 2023	D 0-0	2.13	1.62	1	−0.62	−6.45	−€1.00
M21	Lyngby · Home12 Mar 2023	12 Mar 2023	L 1-3	1.54	2.06	0	−2.06	−8.52	−€1.00
M22	Silkeborg · Away19 Mar 2023	19 Mar 2023	D 3-3	2.95	1.22	1	−0.22	−8.74	−€1.00
M23	Odense · Away31 Mar 2023	31 Mar 2023	W 3-1	2.38	1.46	3	+1.54	−7.20	+€1.38
M24	Lyngby · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	W 1-0	1.57	2.03	3	+0.97	−6.23	+€0.57
M25	Aalborg · Home14 Apr 2023	14 Apr 2023	D 1-1	1.67	1.93	1	−0.93	−7.16	−€1.00
M26	Horsens · Away23 Apr 2023	23 Apr 2023	W 2-0	1.67	1.94	3	+1.06	−6.10	+€0.67
M27	Silkeborg · Home1 May 2023	1 May 2023	W 3-0	1.63	1.96	3	+1.04	−5.06	+€0.63
M28	Lyngby · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	L 1-2	1.98	1.71	0	−1.71	−6.77	−€1.00
M29	Horsens · Home14 May 2023	14 May 2023	W 3-1	1.34	2.31	3	+0.69	−6.08	+€0.34
M30	Aalborg · Away21 May 2023	21 May 2023	W 2-0	2.44	1.44	3	+1.56	−4.52	+€1.44
M31	Silkeborg · Away29 May 2023	29 May 2023	D 3-3	1.87	1.76	1	−0.76	−5.28	−€1.00
M32	Odense · Home3 Jun 2023	3 Jun 2023	W 4-2	1.76	1.83	3	+1.17	−4.12	+€0.76
M33	Viborg · Away9 Jun 2023	9 Jun 2023	W 1-0	2.47	1.41	3	+1.59	−2.53	+€1.47
Total					56.53	54	−2.53		−€4.13